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richard
#1 Posted : 24 January 2013 23:08:09(UTC)
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Seen as a victory for Mr Cameron by some press reports in the wake of his "Europe" speech, German Chancellor Angela Merkel was reported as saying she wanted "to see a deal" with Britain. The Mail claims he "even won the support of Germany's Angela Merkel".

However, Quentin Peel in the Financial Times thinks celebrations may be premature, and that Cameron is in danger of misreading Merkel. There is a long British tradition, he says, of failing to understand Berlin.

Although Merkel had sent a clear message from Berlin after Mr Cameron's speech on Wednesday, that Germany did not want the UK to leave the EU, she also told Cameron that, if he was just pursuing narrow national (or party) interests, this was a game everyone might play. The European game, she said, was about compromise.

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Niall Warry
#2 Posted : 25 January 2013 00:07:29(UTC)
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On 'This Week' with Andrew Neil on BBC 1 Alan Johnston, Michael Portillo, Shirley Williams and Neil Hamilton all reckoned Dave would NOT hold a referendum in 2017. It was a bit rushed to get their u=individual reasons ut Neil Hamilton said because he was unlikely to be in power and the others just seemed to believe he wouldn't be able to hold one period.

My own opinion is that the promise he has made counts for NOTHING for even if he is in power he will find a way to avoid having one. I don't think he will say he had his fingers crossed when making the speech but I can see him saying that due to various events within the EU the need for a referendum is no longer necessary.
Frank Davis
#3 Posted : 25 January 2013 00:19:40(UTC)
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I liked the Brighton train idea in the earlier approach.

OT, and not quite the Harrogate Agenda, I've been thinking about a very different approach to enabling grassroot democracy (including recall). Damning criticism welcomed.
richard
#4 Posted : 25 January 2013 00:23:06(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Frank Davis Go to Quoted Post
I liked the Brighton train idea in the earlier approach.

OT, and not quite the Harrogate Agenda, I've been thinking about a very different approach to enabling grassroot democracy (including recall). Damning criticism welcomed.




Why bother with the monkeys? We want to be the organ grinders. Grassroot democracy requires a structure of direct democracy.

Frank Davis
#5 Posted : 25 January 2013 00:30:58(UTC)
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Which monkeys? And which organ grinder? Your analogy escapes me.
richard
#6 Posted : 25 January 2013 09:00:27(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Frank Davis Go to Quoted Post
Which monkeys? And which organ grinder? Your analogy escapes me.



It is a question of power. In a representative democracy, the representatives (the MPs) have the power - in theory. That makes them the organ-grinders and us the moneys. In the Harrogate Agenda, the people acquire power. They become the organ-grinders.

Mark B
#7 Posted : 25 January 2013 11:21:06(UTC)
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Quote:
Dr. North wrote:
Come 2017, Mr Cameron - if he has been elected - may find he has no treaty, no victory and nothing to offer the people of Britain. What will he do then poor thing?


Sit out the last few years. Probably hand over the reigns to 'BoJo', if he's in parliament by then, write his memoirs, do the after dinner speech circuit and wait to be offered a nice cushy job.

Well, its what they all do isn't it ?

The rest does not matter. He would have done what he set out to do. Move us ever closer to the union.
richard
#8 Posted : 25 January 2013 11:56:06(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Mark B Go to Quoted Post
Quote:
Dr. North wrote:
Come 2017, Mr Cameron - if he has been elected - may find he has no treaty, no victory and nothing to offer the people of Britain. What will he do then poor thing?


Sit out the last few years. Probably hand over the reigns to 'BoJo', if he's in parliament by then, write his memoirs, do the after dinner speech circuit and wait to be offered a nice cushy job.

Well, its what they all do isn't it ?

The rest does not matter. He would have done what he set out to do. Move us ever closer to the union.




I cannot believe that there would not be a colossal political penalty if Cameron reneged once again. This would be grounds for a rebellion and wholesale revolution.

letmethink
#9 Posted : 25 January 2013 12:03:14(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: richard Go to Quoted Post
. . . What will he do then poor thing?


I think, more importantly, what will we do then?
richard
#10 Posted : 25 January 2013 12:12:20(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: letmethink Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: richard Go to Quoted Post
. . . What will he do then poor thing?


I think, more importantly, what will we do then?



See above. It will be an interesting test of our resolve ... whether we just roll over and accept it, or take to the streets. One can imagine though that Cameron might try delaying tactics, putting off the day rather than cancelling it. That is very much his style - at his heart, the man is a coward. As it drags into the election (2020), we see an electoral reaction and he is slung out on his neck.

The alternative scenario is now - as time passes, his referendum offer is seen as less and less credible so that, by the time of this election, it has lost any force. Disillusion sets in and Cameron loses the election in 2015.

Watchet
#11 Posted : 25 January 2013 12:31:49(UTC)
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Although German opinion appears divided about Cameron's negotiation-&-referendum speech & his objection to ever closer union, the EU's Commission staff clearly are displeased. Their punishment for Britain's apparent challenge to their sovereignity is to fine the UK 300,000 euros (about £250,000) per day for failing to implement two EU directives on how gas and electricity markets operate in the EU, & therefore should operate in Britain. The deadline for member states to have adopted this energy legislation was March 2011. Perhaps because they have not rocked the boat in the way the Commission staff probably considers Britain has through Cameron's recent speech, Bulgaria and Estonia, which have also failed to comply, face much smaller fines of just £14,000 a day and £7,500 a day respectively. See:
http://www.dailymail.co....g.html?ito=feeds-newsxml

Perhaps the Commission will, unintentionally, prove our EU-exit cause's best recruiting sergeant ever!

Watchet
ELF
#12 Posted : 25 January 2013 12:45:01(UTC)
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This is all taking it for granted that Merkel will still be in power then.

Edited by user 25 January 2013 12:45:54(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

euSSR Go Home
#13 Posted : 25 January 2013 16:19:37(UTC)
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"Merkel's patience with the British has its limits, does it." Hmmmm.
So our patience with the murky female must have no limits?
We are subordinate, after all - especially if we 'play' for subsidiarity. She is and will be our "supervisor." So we'd better learn our place, or we'll be disciplined.

Right?

Edited by user 25 January 2013 16:20:45(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

silverfox
#14 Posted : 25 January 2013 19:24:38(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Watchet Go to Quoted Post
Although German opinion appears divided about Cameron's negotiation-&-referendum speech & his objection to ever closer union, the EU's Commission staff clearly are displeased. Their punishment for Britain's apparent challenge to their sovereignity is to fine the UK 300,000 euros (about £250,000) per day for failing to implement two EU directives on how gas and electricity markets operate in the EU, & therefore should operate in Britain. The deadline for member states to have adopted this energy legislation was March 2011. Perhaps because they have not rocked the boat in the way the Commission staff probably considers Britain has through Cameron's recent speech, Bulgaria and Estonia, which have also failed to comply, face much smaller fines of just £14,000 a day and £7,500 a day respectively. See:
http://www.dailymail.co....g.html?ito=feeds-newsxml

Perhaps the Commission will, unintentionally, prove our EU-exit cause's best recruiting sergeant ever!

Watchet


But surely we, or our supine 'powers that be' are not going to be so craven as to pay these ridiculous levies!!Cursing
gareth
#15 Posted : 26 January 2013 01:36:05(UTC)
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Quote:
Peel reminds us that Merkel is already backing away from the need for big treaty change, and that she will do whatever she can without treaty change. She knows that French president François Hollande, her closest ally in Europe, is desperate to avoid any referendum in France.

For her part, Ms Merkel is still unclear about what Mr Cameron wants, adds Peel She wants to know if he is seeking – "for ideological reasons" – the repatriation of primary law (i.e., treaty changes), or whether he will be satisfied with "pragmatic" reduction of secondary legislation. She also wants to know if he is seeking to reduce unnecessary EU legislation for everyone, or just for the UK.

Perhaps it has become like wrestling: Dave is playing the baddie to reinforce Merkel and Hollande's desire to avoid a new treaty.

Your appraisal of the German media makes them sound just like ours - inflating Merkel's authority as ours do with Cameron. Both Merkel and Hollande and many others are constrained by having to appear to be putting national interests and considerations first, and having to account for how other nations view them, just as Dave is.
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