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richard
#1 Posted : 19 January 2013 22:24:59(UTC)
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In the legacy media, perhaps the most serious and comprehensive rebuttal of the "fax democracy" meme comes in the Booker column this week. But then, if it was going to happen, this always was the place it was going to be.

Thus does Booker's sub-head state, "Britain might exercise more influence over the European single market outside the EU than in it", building on the work in this blog, in Autonomous Mind, Witterings from Witney and Boiling Frog.

Echoing our thoughts, Booker says that it's possibly just as well that David Cameron had to postpone that most-trailed speech in history, on Britain's place in "Europe". It might just have given him time to get rather better briefed on what he proposes to say than the advance leaks of his speech have suggested.

View full article here
stuart
#2 Posted : 19 January 2013 22:55:51(UTC)
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You could be stirring up a hornets nest here that affects the whole of Europe, not just Britain. Why would any nation want to be in a club that actually muffles its voice? If nations have more influence outside the EU, a whole lot more will be looking for the exit. The fact that the EU has always ridden on the back of economics and trade, if this is pulled out from under it, it will fall. Well done Doc.
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springbank on 20/01/2013(UTC)
richard
#3 Posted : 20 January 2013 00:16:21(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: stuart Go to Quoted Post
You could be stirring up a hornets nest here that affects the whole of Europe, not just Britain. Why would any nation want to be in a club that actually muffles its voice? If nations have more influence outside the EU, a whole lot more will be looking for the exit. The fact that the EU has always ridden on the back of economics and trade, if this is pulled out from under it, it will fall. Well done Doc.


BigGrin


The trouble is that the political elites are doing the equivalent of this guy ...

http://www.pcmag.com/art...e2/0,2817,2414357,00.asp

It is very convenient for them to have Brussels do all the heavy lifting, saving them from having to work for their pay.
Ravenscar
#4 Posted : 20 January 2013 00:18:22(UTC)
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Another, very well researched and well written article, the precis, it would be hard to fault - even if one was a EUrophiliac.


Well said Mr. Booker.
jaguar driver
#5 Posted : 20 January 2013 01:04:26(UTC)
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RAENorth said:-
Quote:
Anyhow, as we have also asserted many times, the only way Mr Cameron could compel the "colleagues" to negotiate would be by invoking Article 50 of the treaty, which can only be triggered by a country announcing that it wishes to leave – or "decouple" as we prefer to say.


Question, Who would actually 'invoke Article 50' ?
Would it be the 'Prime Minister' or would it have to be the 'Government' or would it need a whole raft of ministers & bureaucrats who one day state that "Article 50 is hereby invoked".
I am just curious as to the mechanism involved.

Thanks.
Dave Evans
#6 Posted : 20 January 2013 01:56:15(UTC)
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Good old Tubby Isaacs is hard at work I see.
Julian Williams
#7 Posted : 20 January 2013 02:08:00(UTC)
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They have plugged this fax democracy meme hard because it is a good sound bite and will be remembered and believed by many who are uncommitted or soft voters who will flock to their side. But there lies their mistake, they should have kept this sound bite for the closing days of a referendum, instead they have pushed it out much too early. It is their battleship at the very heart of their campaign We have a number of years to plug away educating the public and hacks that what they have been told is the opposite from the truth, and when the meme sinks their cause will lose a lot of buoyancy.

Of course the debunking of the fax democracy meme started here. (I have seen this so many times)
William Gruff
#8 Posted : 20 January 2013 02:22:53(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: richard Go to Quoted Post
' ... But what it does demonstrate is that if Mr Cameron continues to talk scornfully of Norway being subject to "fax democracy", he and his advisers simply haven't taken on board one of the most important ways in which our globalised world is increasingly being run. ... '

There's still plenty of time to show that Cameron, and whoever succeeds him, has got his fax wrong, if I may be permitted to coin a very weak pun.

richard
#9 Posted : 20 January 2013 09:42:53(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: jaguar driver Go to Quoted Post
RAENorth said:-
Quote:
Anyhow, as we have also asserted many times, the only way Mr Cameron could compel the "colleagues" to negotiate would be by invoking Article 50 of the treaty, which can only be triggered by a country announcing that it wishes to leave – or "decouple" as we prefer to say.


Question, Who would actually 'invoke Article 50' ?
Would it be the 'Prime Minister' or would it have to be the 'Government' or would it need a whole raft of ministers & bureaucrats who one day state that "Article 50 is hereby invoked".
I am just curious as to the mechanism involved.

Thanks.



I think it would be done under Royal Prerogative, by the prime minister.

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jaguar driver on 21/01/2013(UTC)
richard
#10 Posted : 20 January 2013 09:44:06(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Dave Evans Go to Quoted Post
Good old Tubby Isaacs is hard at work I see.




He's a pain ... but it's obviously a sensitive issue.

Bob Fox
#11 Posted : 20 January 2013 12:26:01(UTC)
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I did not know that faxes were still used these days. While we are busy informing ourselves with the new media, perhaps the great and the good just have not heard. Why not send them a fax, and the debate would be won!Cool
Flashman
#12 Posted : 20 January 2013 14:00:23(UTC)
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Good article.


But even if you believe the europhile 'no influence' line then its puzzling they hold up Norway as an example. I mean every one of those international comparison quality of life surveys puts Norway and Switzerland way above the UK.


http://ca.finance.yahoo....countries-233204795.html


If only we could be 'isolated' like poor old Norway.

Laugh
john in cheshire
#13 Posted : 20 January 2013 14:51:15(UTC)
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Richard, I was googling about Article 50, particularly to find out why it had been added to the Lisbon Treaty, since I believe it was not included in the Treaty version that France and The Netherlands voted against. I'm sure I read somewhere that if such an Article was not included this could nullify the Treaty. I can't find where I read that and consequently, I'm not sure it's a correct understanding; particularly since I came across this from the politics.ie website and written in 2008 :

"Article 56(1) of the Vienna Convention on the Law on Treaties states:

Article 56(1) of the Vienna Convention on the Law on Treaties (applies now under Nice)
1. A treaty which contains no provision regarding its termination and which does not provide for denunciation or withdrawal is not subject to denunciation or withdrawal unless:

a) it is established that the parties intended to admit the possibility of denunciation or withdrawal; or
b) a right of denunciation or withdrawal may be implied by the nature of the treaty.

A leading text on the law of treaties says ‘the constituent instrument of an international organisation…almost certainly falls within paragraph (b)’. In other words a signatory state is free to leave an international organization even if the treaty setting up that organisation has no specific provision on withdrawal. What Lisbon does do (in Article 50 TEU) is include such a specific provision on withdrawal. because of that Article 54 of the Vienna Convention on the Law on Treaties would apply should Lisbon come into force. It states:

Article 54 of the Vienna Convention on the Law on Treaties (would apply under Lisbon)
The termination of a treaty or the withdrawal of a party may take place:

(a) in conformity with the provisions of the treaty; or
(b) at any time by consent of all the parties after consultation with the other contracting States.

So the change in Lisbon on withdrawal is not to grant a right of withdrawal but to set out (in Article 50 TEU) the procedure to be followed should any state want to leave at some point in the future, for reasons yet unseen. The question then arises as to whether this procedure is more onerous than that implied by Article 56(1) of the Vienna law of treaties quoted above that allows it to leave unilaterally today. I would suggest Lisbon would make the situation slightly worse for the withdrawing state in that it sets out a two-year negotiating period during which the member-state will be excluded from the EU Councils on decisions concerning its withdrawal and is obliged to follow all the EU rules for two years after which it could do what it can do today without waiting two years; walk away.

The claims of EU supporters that EU-skeptics should vote for Lisbon on the grounds that they are locked into the EU now without Lisbon is false.

No doubt you and Mr Booker know this, but I didn't, hence my reproduction of it here. My understanding, therefore, is that we can always exit an international treaty no matter what the treaty actually says.
In that respect, I think it supports your ( including WfW, TBF, AM et al) assertion that the task is to define the process for withdrawal and not whether we can or cannot, should or should not withdraw.
Clarence
#14 Posted : 20 January 2013 14:58:33(UTC)
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Booker is very unsporting - he's cementing up all the europhiles' escape routes, one by one.

John – the Constitution did allow for withdrawal (Article I-60, which is almost identical to the present TEU 50). See under "Voluntary withdrawal": http://europa.eu/scadplu...tution/membership_en.htm

Nottoobrite
#15 Posted : 20 January 2013 15:09:03(UTC)
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Anyone voicing an opinion has to have the ability to stand on his ( her ) own two feet, ( figuratively speaking ) Cameron always displays himself with his body as leaning on something !!!! As he instructs his sheep in the commons , always needs support for his body, "any-body" in this situation needs the attention of a mind mechanic, either the body is not working, or that what controls it is uneducated, who, payed the millions to have this freak of nature elected ? Not the man down the pub, who has been effected most by his uneducated ramblings !!!
richard
#16 Posted : 20 January 2013 18:58:18(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: john in cheshire Go to Quoted Post
...

No doubt you and Mr Booker know this, but I didn't, hence my reproduction of it here. My understanding, therefore, is that we can always exit an international treaty no matter what the treaty actually says.
In that respect, I think it supports your ( including WfW, TBF, AM et al) assertion that the task is to define the process for withdrawal and not whether we can or cannot, should or should not withdraw.


John,

As far as I understand it - and I researched this pretty thoroughly, Art 50, it was introduced because Spinelli argued that the EU could not be seen to be a "prison of nations". He wanted every member to be seen as a willing volunteer, which could not be the case unless there was an explicit exit clause.

He introduced it in his draft European Constitution of 1984, which had an article providing a right to leave the Union under "fair conditions". This was later included in the draft European Constitution at the Convention stage, and thence it found its way into the Lisbon Treaty. As a political declaration, there is an element of bluff here. Spinelli never expected it to be used.
Dave Evans
#17 Posted : 20 January 2013 18:59:45(UTC)
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John on Cheshire.

The two years is not set in stone. It can be shorter, (or longer by mutual consent),

Just dropping out under art 56 would lead to similar circumstances as the repeal of the ECA.

We'd be out in the cold with no trade agreements in place.
euSSR Go Home
#18 Posted : 20 January 2013 19:32:17(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: richard Go to Quoted Post
If he persists in talking like this, concludes Booker, when he finally makes that long-awaited speech, it will be one of the main reasons why, as he wrote two weeks ago, he will fall flat on his face.
Well said Booker, and thanks for all this, Dr. N.

What I love is that the gelatinous Camoron never fails to fall on his face. That's probably why it's so ugly.
Oddly enough, one might almost hope that he and his failures continue long enough to see us out of it all....



nemesis
#19 Posted : 20 January 2013 20:02:15(UTC)
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Apologies for O/T
Amazing pictures of global warming in Russia;
http://rt.com/news/winter-snow-russia-weather-275/
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