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richard
#1 Posted : 17 December 2012 23:02:05(UTC)
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Slowly, gradually, David Cameron is being drawn down a path from which there is no escape. He has not arrived at the destination but we don't have so very far to go. The great problem is that none of us know what that destination is.

View full article here

and ...

Before any of my UKIP-supporting readers – sensitive souls that some are – complain yet again about me being nasty about their party, let me say that there is nothing intrinsically wrong with being a "malcontent". If there is a great deal wrong with society, it would be absurd, in a political sense, to be "content".

And, if the Ashcroft poll is to be believed, it would be perfectly reasonable to conclude that UKIP is indeed a party of malcontents. Its main achievement is to attract the growing band of people who are dissatisfied with modern Britain, people who are unhappy with the response of the main political parties to what they see as deteriorating conditions.

Whether that is a correct interpretation of Ashcroft's findings, though, remains to be seen, but some of what he says seems to pass my own personal smell test. When it comes to "Europe", for instance, experience would suggest that this really is not the major preoccupation of most UKIP supporters.

View full article here

Edited by user 18 December 2012 16:35:45(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Ravenscar
#2 Posted : 17 December 2012 23:56:52(UTC)
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Quote:
but we don't have so very far to go. The great problem is that none of us know what that destination is.



I would say, imho the prob' is not what the destination is, our destiny is freedom and out of the slave Empire of doom, the argument is over the method of travel.................

and us lot 'ere - we know where the key to the lock is - oh yes indeedy!


Flippin 'eck if Dave has actually acknowledged the out thingy then the game really is afoot.


Furthermore, it begs the question......................[how in hell's name] has somebody finally ...... some sense into the Eton toff at long last and hells teeth - it is certainly about flippin' time.

comet
#3 Posted : 18 December 2012 00:21:06(UTC)
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Here too.

http://www.telegraph.co....Britain-leaving-EU.html

They can't be part of the inner circle. They don't want to leave. They're still trying to peddle the renegotiation nonsense, but they can't explain how they are going to do it apart from suggesting it can be fitted in in some way with the negotiations over the Eurozone. The Colleagues are saying the pick and choose option is a horse that won't run. There's a tide of anti-EU feeling that doesn't look like turning easily and can't be turned away from UKIP without offering some meat.

The reform option is looking weaker all the time.

I have genuine doubts as to whether Cameron understands anything about 'Europe' anyway.

The question I have is what can he do, given that promises won't wash and he's in coalition with the LibDems?

Presumably, we have a Labour government next time round with a slightly less compromised stance, but which may have a lot of the same problems.

.


euSSR Go Home
#4 Posted : 18 December 2012 06:11:25(UTC)
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The state of our politics is one of those things: just when you think it can't get any worse, it does. I thought we couldn't sink lower than Bliar and Broon -- and then we got this pathetic Prime Maggot. And millipede is all the future has in store.

Whatever is the matter with the British?
richard
#5 Posted : 18 December 2012 06:50:19(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: comet Go to Quoted Post
Here too.

http://www.telegraph.co....Britain-leaving-EU.html

They can't be part of the inner circle. They don't want to leave. They're still trying to peddle the renegotiation nonsense, but they can't explain how they are going to do it apart from suggesting it can be fitted in in some way with the negotiations over the Eurozone. The Colleagues are saying the pick and choose option is a horse that won't run. There's a tide of anti-EU feeling that doesn't look like turning easily and can't be turned away from UKIP without offering some meat.

The reform option is looking weaker all the time.

I have genuine doubts as to whether Cameron understands anything about 'Europe' anyway.

The question I have is what can he do, given that promises won't wash and he's in coalition with the LibDems?

Presumably, we have a Labour government next time round with a slightly less compromised stance, but which may have a lot of the same problems.

.





Usual krap from Kirkup ...

Quote:
Mr Cameron has not yet set out his position on the issue, although he has said that he does not want Britain to leave the EU, warning that the country could end up in a position like that of Norway, bound by EU rules but unable to influence them.


Another cut 'n' paste filler.
Robertm
#6 Posted : 18 December 2012 08:00:45(UTC)
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The words from the DT and the FT are the same. This is a plant from No 10, a continuation of the dance of the seven veils from Dave. Kill the lie about renegotiation of powers and there is no way to go other than an in out referendum with the options being more Europe or no Europe.

They are seriously scared and are starting to flounder.
richard
#7 Posted : 18 December 2012 08:04:19(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Robertm Go to Quoted Post
The words from the DT and the FT are the same. This is a plant from No 10, a continuation of the dance of the seven veils from Dave. Kill the lie about renegotiation of powers and there is no way to go other than an in out referendum with the options being more Europe or no Europe.

They are seriously scared and are starting to flounder.



It was a Commons exchange ... probably picked up from the agencies.

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DavidinRome on 20/12/2012(UTC)
vincent
#8 Posted : 18 December 2012 08:18:15(UTC)
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Cameron HAS to acknowledge the fact if he is to address the public dislike of all things EU, which does have a head of steam about it.He has to "reach out" and that starts with faux sympathy and understanding,so he can then allay all our fears with his worthless renegotiation option.Fortunately no one believes a word a politician says anymore.

The greater worry is the big business view and the hopeless coverage our media are giving us which could well make some voters wobble.

The other big factor is the EU itself, as it morphs into a European superstate.The colleagues just cannot hide that anymore.The days when the EU was viewed here as some slightly eccentric institute over the water, that only occasionally made the headlines is gone.The more folk realise this is no longer going to be a loose union of member states the more our chances of getting out.



richard
#9 Posted : 18 December 2012 09:36:04(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: vincent Go to Quoted Post
Cameron HAS to acknowledge the fact if he is to address the public dislike of all things EU, which does have a head of steam about it.He has to "reach out" and that starts with faux sympathy and understanding,so he can then allay all our fears with his worthless renegotiation option.Fortunately no one believes a word a politician says anymore.

The greater worry is the big business view and the hopeless coverage our media are giving us which could well make some voters wobble.

The other big factor is the EU itself, as it morphs into a European superstate.The colleagues just cannot hide that anymore.The days when the EU was viewed here as some slightly eccentric institute over the water, that only occasionally made the headlines is gone.The more folk realise this is no longer going to be a loose union of member states the more our chances of getting out.






The business view is crucial ... they will find the "inners", and support continued membership. Unless we neutralise their fears, we are gong to find it much harder to win an "in/out" referendum.

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DavidinRome on 20/12/2012(UTC)
AndyBaxter
#10 Posted : 18 December 2012 09:57:34(UTC)
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So how do we get a simple comprehensive understanding of invoking "article 50" out there to a wider mainstream audience? that is the question:

Booker reaches a particular wider audience by virtue of the fact he is MSM and although his articles are sound, factual and excoriating at times there simply isn't enough of a 'what if we invoke article 50' and show the consequences of such i.e. nothing changes the day after, from him and other mainstream journalists to reach enough people. Throw in the ineptitude of Farage and his ECA 1973 repealers and the waters become ever so muddy.

No matter what one thinks of Farage and his ilk the cry of 'repeal ECA 1973' and all will be well is a simple soundbite that to people who want 'out' but do not understand the nuances and complexities of the EU are likely to latch onto, after all most of us do make simple choices in life, yes I want it no I dont, yes I will renew my contract for my phone or whatever or no I wont.

I'd like to see more articles one after the other from Booker Delingpole etc (being pragmatic I know I can't influence their agenda) where they focus specifically on article 50 and use example after example from business, energy, fisheries, HSE, in fact all the competencies that the EU control and compare before and after article 50 showing the power of such a decision to raise greater awareness.

maybe I'm asking for too much but beyond blogs like this one and others who hanner home the same message its back to my original question "do we get a simple comprehensive understanding of invoking "article 50" out there to a wider mainstream audience?"

just asking
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DavidinRome on 20/12/2012(UTC)
TheBoilingFrog
#11 Posted : 18 December 2012 10:22:31(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Ravenscar Go to Quoted Post


Flippin 'eck if Dave has actually acknowledged the out thingy then the game really is afoot.


Furthermore, it begs the question......................[how in hell's name] has somebody finally ...... some sense into the Eton toff at long last and hells teeth - it is certainly about flippin' time.



It's only a guess on my part, but it probably comes down to power (or the loss of it) which is concentrating his mind. Not only does he have one eye on the next election which looks at the moment lost for the Tories, but, as Richard has noted, his personal power is also diminishing rather rapidly - and gay marriage is helping to facilitate that in a big way (I do wonder if there will be some sort of challenge to his leadership if this goes through). So he may have realised that the EU - an issue that is dominating his tenure - needs something more substantive to shore up his position.

Besides he could have also realised during his time as PM that being a member of the EU for him is little more than a boy peering through a window from outside at the happy and laughing family indoors enjoying their Christmas turkey, even more so if a new treaty goes ahead leaving the UK on the sidelines.
James102
#12 Posted : 18 December 2012 11:42:05(UTC)
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What Ashcroft’s poll suggests is that with the rise of a political class party labels become brands of basically the same product. This can be sustained only as long as first the electorate broadly agree with the cultural values of that political class or they are not given an alternative.
Labour was able to neutralise the BNP as an alternative for the white manual working class but the Conservatives can’t really deal with Ukip in the same way.
Even if a fractured Conservative party leads to a pro-EU Labour-LibDem coalition having a large section of the population disaffected and feeling increasingly aggrieved will fuel English nationalism.
Our political class see politics as a branch of marketing so will be game playing how to sell the EU to the public rather than accept the cultural incompatibility that is driving disaffection.
It is all about the ratchet approach: they simply do not understand that no policies or alliances are forever. The EU is, far as the UK is concerned, last century.
F U Fed Up
#13 Posted : 18 December 2012 11:51:10(UTC)
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Not sure Ashcroft is all right.

Heard over the weekend of a died in the wool Labour voter, who still reads the Daily Mirror, he's that hard core, who is voteing UKIP from now on.......because of the EU and all it brings with it.

Yes immigration is a huge concern to all, but people know that the vast majority is tks to the EU and as long as we are in it we can do nothing about EU immigration, ergo get out of the EU.

The EU brings so many problems with it and again people know that we can do damn all about them.....ergo get out.

The tide is building and there is nothing that anyone in westminster can do about it, as they are all held in total contempt....eg is Maria Miller still a Minister, despite stealing 90K.......


PS Anyone even half sane about economics should vote UKIP just because of the Flat tax...though it's far too high

http://www.ukip.org/cont...ies/2560-ukip-tax-policy

Edited by user 18 December 2012 12:02:05(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Dave Evans
#14 Posted : 18 December 2012 12:04:17(UTC)
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BNP, because of the name, was easy to taint with the racist slur and Griffin didn't help. Otherwise I think it could have taken off.
Julian Williams
#15 Posted : 18 December 2012 12:14:17(UTC)
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Are you telling me to believe Cameron has an imagination? I agree with most of what you post, but this time you have gone over the top.
J A King
#16 Posted : 18 December 2012 12:14:45(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: F U Fed Up Go to Quoted Post

PS Anyone even half sane about economics should vote UKIP just because of the Flat tax...though it's far too high

http://www.ukip.org/cont...ies/2560-ukip-tax-policy


Not so sure about this one, Yeah a flat tax rate is a very good idea, but i think the merging of Income tax and NI will open up a minefield.

NI is used to calculate a lot of things, pensions. benefits entitlement etc. Also there are people who pay income tax but dont pay NI (for example pentioners), if the two taxes were merged then would pentioners have to "pay it again"even though they have spent their lives paying it.

The Merging the two sounds good and all, but when you think about it, there is a lot more explaining of how required from UKIP
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DavidinRome on 20/12/2012(UTC)
richard
#17 Posted : 18 December 2012 12:19:11(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Julian Williams Go to Quoted Post
Are you telling me to believe Cameron has an imagination? I agree with most of what you post, but this time you have gone over the top.



BigGrin I think he said it was imaginable ... not that he imagined it!

Flashman
#18 Posted : 18 December 2012 12:29:49(UTC)
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As far as the Conservative Party is concerned Ashcroft is part of the problem rather than the solution. Ashcroftsjust written another article justifying his own vote losing, membership crumbling strategies.

eg The EU is very complikated subject and the voters aren't interested anyway. So no need for an in-out referendum.

UKIP "seem to want to take Britain back to a time when things were done more sensibly". So forward the Tory modernisers. Gay marriage for all !There is no alternative. The lady's not for turning. LOL


And so goodnight, goodbye and good riddance to the Tory Party.


Quote:
However, while many of those who are drawn to voting UKIP recognise the wilful simplicity of the party's rhetoric: that we could cut taxes, increase defence spending and balance the budget all at once, and cut crime and improve access to the NHS, if only we left EU and clamped down on immigration


Now this is a good point. UKIP really need to concentrate on producing some policies that will stand up to scrutiny.

Take the commitment to increasing defence spending by 40%.

1, Where is the money coming from to do this?
2, Why ? Who do we need to protect ourselves from anyway?
3, Where are all these new recruits coming from? The military struggle to fill the places at the moment.

UKIP need to project a professional, managerial outlook and the current manifesto doesn't cut it.

Edited by user 18 December 2012 12:32:20(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

James102
#19 Posted : 18 December 2012 12:46:36(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: J A King Go to Quoted Post
[quote=F U Fed Up;7721]


Not so sure about this one, Yeah a flat tax rate is a very good idea, but i think the merging of Income tax and NI will open up a minefield.

NI is used to calculate a lot of things, pensions. benefits entitlement etc. Also there are people who pay income tax but dont pay NI (for example pentioners), if the two taxes were merged then would pentioners have to "pay it again"even though they have spent their lives paying it.

The Merging the two sounds good and all, but when you think about it, there is a lot more explaining of how required from UKIP




It is the N.I paid by employers that is the target as this is a payroll tax. Even for pensioners although they don’t pay NI their employers, if they are employed, do.
As for calculating benefits we will have to move to means testing all benefits so contributions won’t matter. Even pension will not be age linked for much longer. Retirement will be on health grounds.
All these policies should not be taken too seriously as all the parties need to adjust as circumstances change---and by God are they going to change over the next decade!
James102
#20 Posted : 18 December 2012 12:54:59(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Flashman Go to Quoted Post



Quote:
However, while many of those who are drawn to voting UKIP recognise the wilful simplicity of the party's rhetoric: that we could cut taxes, increase defence spending and balance the budget all at once, and cut crime and improve access to the NHS, if only we left EU and clamped down on immigration


Now this is a good point. UKIP really need to concentrate on producing some policies that will stand up to scrutiny.

Take the commitment to increasing defence spending by 40%.

1, Where is the money coming from to do this?
2, Why ? Who do we need to protect ourselves from anyway?
3, Where are all these new recruits coming from? The military struggle to fill the places at the moment.

UKIP need to project a professional, managerial outlook and the current manifesto doesn't cut it.



Do you really think the bulk of the electorate know the main policies of the parties? Most will just vote on a general “feel” unless they are one of the “...my father before me voted Labour/Conservative so...” How did the Welsh and Scottish nationalist break the mould? It was not with detailed costed policies. The only difference is Ukip will be subject to detailed analyses by the MSM particularly the Guardian-BBC but then unless it is slipped into Reality TV it will probably go unnoticed, like the Party Political Broadcasts.
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