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richard
#1 Posted : 16 December 2012 15:59:31(UTC)
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In between the Christmas cheer at last week's European Council there was, according to the loss-making Guardian, a sour note injected when François Hollande openly declared his opposition to an "a la carte" Europe in which members can choose which bits of EU law applies to them.

This basically shoots Mr Cameron's fox. Hollande is making it very clear that the prime minister's fantasy of exploiting the euro crisis to renegotiate the terms of Britain's EU membership and claw back powers from Brussels has nowhere to go.

The French president could not have been clearer, insisting that member states had to comply with the terms of EU treaties they had signed and ratified, saying: "Europe is not a Europe where you can take back competences. It is not Europe a la carte".

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James102
#2 Posted : 16 December 2012 16:23:49(UTC)
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Farage is probably the reason Cameron is playing down any TV debate before the next election. If Ukip continues to poll above the LibDems it will be hard to restrict the debate to the leaders of parties with MPs.
The BBC would also no doubt favour having Ukip take part as the received wisdom is they damage the Conservatives.
The more we hear from Euro politicians the better as it informs the British people about the real choices open to them.
I would though like our trading position with the EU to get more publicity. All this “our main market” business without any reference to the fact we run a massive deficit and are vital to countries like Germany is tedious.
All very Ricardian but tedious never the same.
Ravenscar
#3 Posted : 16 December 2012 19:50:34(UTC)
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I'll attempt to make this post a reasonably cogent and coherent one, you never know - Lord Leveson could be perusing the 'ether' and upon reading my piece....... might think - "stuff of nonsense - you blackguard!"

And "must be just back from the pub!"

On the other hand, who gives two ....s what Lord bloody Leveson thinks - "we be still free as birds 'ere master begging your pardin' mi lud".

Cameron, procrastinating time and again, mouthing meaningless drivel concerning 'repatriation of powers' and back from our Brussels masters. For goodness sakes, if he genuinely believes this [and I don't think for one second that he actually does believe it] then he belongs in a padded cell.


_________________________________________________________________________________

On the frog president.

Quote:
The French president could not have been clearer, insisting that member states had to comply with the terms of EU treaties they had signed and ratified,


What pray can he mean - has he not apprised himself of our desperate situation in Britain....let me colour the picture for him.

Lisbon.

A consti-treaty, that was knocked back by the FRENCH (and the Dutch) ELECTORATE in a ballot but was then resurrected in a cloak and dagger coup redolent of some flea bitten Central American banana republic. With a smoke and mirrors exercise. It works, in an duplicitous and undemocratic 'land grab' by stealing powers from the British people and then! And Then!! Scrawled on, by a constitutionally unelected Labour leader representing a minority government and himself from a constituency in Kirkcaldy.

Signed and ratified - my ar*e.

Finally.

Quote:

Backing their man, government officials in the UK argue there is nothing in the EU treaties proscribing the repatriation of powers from Brussels. A "Downing Street source" then says: "It's wrong to say you can't repatriate powers. There's no clause written down anywhere that says this can't be done".

There, of course, officials are right. There is nothing in theory to stop powers being repatriated, but this requires a new treaty, invoking Article 48 of the Treaty of the European Union. And there are so many hurdles to successful completion that it would be foolhardy to rely on the process.


Quite so.

It can be done
but if you mistake Cameron for representing British interests, then you have it the wrong way around. Alack, for Dave is Brussels' representative in Westminster.......he is not going to play ball here and article 50 Lisbon treaty - Dave's never heard of it.........................................as we say around here "he's cockin' a deaf un".

I personally think we should get rid of Dave and ask for super Mario - in a EU transfer swap - after and when bunga bunga boots him out of Italia.

Edited by user 16 December 2012 19:54:35(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

john in cheshire
#4 Posted : 16 December 2012 20:16:21(UTC)
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Richard, probably a trivial observation, but Mr Hollande has only been in the job for a few months, yet he pronounces as though he has been there forever. In other word, the French civil service is ruling France as ours here in England is ruling us. And I suspect this is so for all Western countries, including the USA. There is a major problem with politicans, that's a given, but the hidden problem is the body of unelected 'servants' who manipulate the politicians of whichever party actually wins an election.
rhaan
#5 Posted : 16 December 2012 21:10:56(UTC)
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richard
#6 Posted : 16 December 2012 22:10:26(UTC)
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Robertm
#7 Posted : 16 December 2012 23:06:38(UTC)
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James 102 said
Quote:
Farage is probably the reason Cameron is playing down any TV debate before the next election. If Ukip continues to poll above the LibDems it will be hard to restrict the debate to the leaders of parties with MPs.


Farage is not very good at debating. He is not very good on Question Time when he has appeared and is a complete novice to the point of being embarrasing when talking about anything other than Europe where he is a one trick pony.

UKIP is making progress despite Farage, not because of him.

With Hollande ruling out an a la carte Europe this really does leave Dave with a major problem as he only has one choice for the referendum- in or out. There is no 'changing the relationship with Europe' because that is not on the menu. So given the choice of leaving the EU or staying in as things are, then there is a good chance that the electorate, if given referendum, would vote to leave.

richard
#8 Posted : 16 December 2012 23:13:43(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Robertm Go to Quoted Post
James 102 said
Quote:
Farage is probably the reason Cameron is playing down any TV debate before the next election. If Ukip continues to poll above the LibDems it will be hard to restrict the debate to the leaders of parties with MPs.


Farage is not very good at debating. He is not very good on Question Time when he has appeared and is a complete novice to the point of being embarrasing when talking about anything other than Europe where he is a one trick pony.

UKIP is making progress despite Farage, not because of him.

With Hollande ruling out an a la carte Europe this really does leave Dave with a major problem as he only has one choice for the referendum- in or out. There is no 'changing the relationship with Europe' because that is not on the menu. So given the choice of leaving the EU or staying in as things are, then there is a good chance that the electorate, if given referendum, would vote to leave.




I wish I could be certain that the majority would vote to leave in a referendum. Recent polls indicate otherwise ... a "renegotiate" option might prove more popular.

Robert of Ottawa
#9 Posted : 17 December 2012 03:12:42(UTC)
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I must admit to vacillation about strategy. But I think you've convinced me that the way to go is via article cinquant (?) rather than a referendum first.

The government of the day would then ask for support of entering, rather than leaving, the EU. The last referendum was supposedly on entering the EU, but we were already engulfed and stuffed.

An anti-EU membership referendum will fail. The game must be played more subtly than that.
PS I campaigned in the Heath (?) referenudmn on the ENTER side, and now acknowledge the error of my ways.
Mea Culpa :-(
Robert of Ottawa
#10 Posted : 17 December 2012 03:18:22(UTC)
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Richard, you have stressed time and again that there is no "renegotiate" option. It's just not there. However, it can be a trick by our local politicos to get votes, win elections, etc. I would advize against such counsel.
Watchet
#11 Posted : 17 December 2012 06:08:06(UTC)
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Quote:
"Europe is not a Europe where you can take back competences. It is not Europe a la carte".
I've always considered this a coward's restriction. If an EU member country, eg Britain, wants to change some (or perhaps a lot of) EU rulings that it considers have begun to affect it negatively, then the first remedy would be to inform the other EU members that this is so, & request their assistance in eliminating these difficulties. Unfortunately, with the EU as it is in practice, this almost inevitably would be rejected.

So subsequent remedies would then be necessary for the country concerned, as well as a great deal of determination. Two of these remedies are to:
a) suspend some or all payments to the EU until the issue has been amended to the plaintiff country's approval, or
b) start VETOING EVERYTHING!

I much prefer the second of the two devices, though both may become necessary if an EU surrender were to be delayed. Some EU countries would be able to play this game much more easily than others, eg Germany & France, while some countries would probably have very little clout in such a game, eg Malta & Slovenia. What about Britain? Hard to say, but if the EU played hardball, then the situation could quickly (& in my view, very conveniently) turn into an EU Article 50 one!

Watchet
richard
#12 Posted : 17 December 2012 09:01:45(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Watchet Go to Quoted Post
Quote:
"Europe is not a Europe where you can take back competences. It is not Europe a la carte".
I've always considered this a coward's restriction. If an EU member country, eg Britain, wants to change some (or perhaps a lot of) EU rulings that it considers have begun to affect it negatively, then the first remedy would be to inform the other EU members that this is so, & request their assistance in eliminating these difficulties. Unfortunately, with the EU as it is in practice, this almost inevitably would be rejected.

So subsequent remedies would then be necessary for the country concerned, as well as a great deal of determination. Two of these remedies are to:
a) suspend some or all payments to the EU until the issue has been amended to the plaintiff country's approval, or
b) start VETOING EVERYTHING!

I much prefer the second of the two devices, though both may become necessary if an EU surrender were to be delayed. Some EU countries would be able to play this game much more easily than others, eg Germany & France, while some countries would probably have very little clout in such a game, eg Malta & Slovenia. What about Britain? Hard to say, but if the EU played hardball, then the situation could quickly (& in my view, very conveniently) turn into an EU Article 50 one!

Watchet



It you remember Major's "beef war", that strategy has been tried before. Besides, why should we need to take an aggressive line on this? In invoking Art. 50, we would probably be kicking at an open door.
Watchet
#13 Posted : 17 December 2012 10:34:40(UTC)
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Quote:
It you remember Major's "beef war", that strategy has been tried before. Besides, why should we need to take an aggressive line on this? In invoking Art. 50, we would probably be kicking at an open door.

Yes Richard, I remember it well - though (as far as I recall) it was only applied for a week, & ended up vetoing some measures that British civil servants (truthfully or not, who knows?) claimed to support. You are right in suggesting it as being rather an aggressive device. Most if not all the other EU members would soon feel noise-out-of-joint, to Britain's likely disadvantage. The only people it could assist (in a backhand way) would be those UK politicians & negotiators who, despite everything that is plainly negative about the EU, still hope to bend the EU to Britain's will. I would see it as a learning process for them, Cameron & Boris included. Whether the veto is widely used or not, as long as the UK's negotiators are really serving Britain (& regrettably we can't be sure of that!), Article 50 would surely soon follow.

Watchet
James102
#14 Posted : 17 December 2012 10:52:33(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: richard Go to Quoted Post



I wish I could be certain that the majority would vote to leave in a referendum. Recent polls indicate otherwise ... a "renegotiate" option might prove more popular.




Yes which is why I feel the longer the issue goes on the better. The Eurozone is going to get a lot worse and the “renegotiate” position will be shown up as meaningless, debate by debate, and article by article.
Last time all the MSM and business organisations supported a “Yes” vote and the Web did not exist. We trusted our politicians and instinctively thought they were patriotic (a word not heard or used in the UK anymore) The UK was a country that had lost hope and Europe was booming.
These are the reasons our political class fear a referendum.
The EU is also leaving us as they struggle to keep the Euro alive. Croatia joins soon...Then the Romanians and Bulgarians will start to arrive...
James102
#15 Posted : 17 December 2012 11:07:06(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Robertm Go to Quoted Post


Farage is not very good at debating. He is not very good on Question Time when he has appeared and is a complete novice to the point of being embarrasing when talking about anything other than Europe where he is a one trick pony.







How he will be seen and come over to the Man and Woman in the street and how he comes over to political hobbyists is very different. That is why his speeches in Brussels gets the number of hits they do.
After Question Time he and Bob Crow went for a drink. Crow was heard to say:”Come on Nige let’s get away from these ######”
I always found Blair’s Am Dram style cringingly embarrassing:”This is no time for sound bite ---I feel the hand of history on my shoulder.”!!! A camp barrister playing to the jury. But the public and the chattering classes loved him and thought he was brilliant.




JulianTheSceptic
#16 Posted : 18 December 2012 17:03:25(UTC)
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I am very sceptical over whether powers can be repatriated. The Labour government didn't try to bring a single power back in 1975, preferring to hype tinkering with contributions and trade terms.

Article 48 of the current Treaty is cited as enabling repatriation and refers to the word 'competence'. The EU doesn't properly define it, but sees it in the nebulous space between 'power' and 'responsibility'. However EU Case Law is quite clear that even where 'competence' is 'national', the EU can legislate there, and also limit how a member state exercises it (Cases 83/98, 186/01, 1/05). So any gain of 'national competence' is not tantamount to real national sovereignty.

EU Case Law refers to a 'permanent' restriction of national sovereign rights. (Case 6/64). Might it be that Article 48 is window dressing to prop up EU apologists, just like the fig leaf of citizen petitions and involving national parliaments more makes the EU look more 'democratic' to those who don't look too deeply?

It has also been pointed out that EU institutions are bound by EU goals and objectives (Cases 11/00, 15/00). These include the thrust towards progressive integration of member states' political and economic systems. I can't see an attempt to re-establish sovereign powers as being compatible with these goals, for which I have quoted the European Commission.

It might be that the EU sought to delegate jurisdiction on human rights cases to a wider body like the European Court of Human Rights, and in so doing 'reduce its own competence' but I cannot see any downwards transfer to member states. The EU has gone out of its way to centralise ever more power through repeat referendums and denied referendums, and I can't see the leopard changing its spots.

If Article 48 was such a magic wand, then how come the Commission told us in November 2011 that there was no treaty provision to foresee Greece re-establishing its own currency?

Edited by user 18 December 2012 17:05:57(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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