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richard
#1 Posted : 06 December 2012 20:56:50(UTC)
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It seems it's retrospective day, for the BBC, this time producing and article on the 20th anniversary of the Swiss rejection in a referendum of membership of the European Economic Area by "the tiniest of margins".

The BBC positions this membership as "the first step towards full membership of the European Union". Had it joined the EEA, by now, it says, "Switzerland would probably be one of the more longstanding members of the EU".

The article is worth reading in full, but what is interesting is the way the EEA is seen as a halfway house to EU membership. Yet this very same organisation we see as a parking place for the UK, should we leave the EU.

View full article here
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john in cheshire on 08/12/2012(UTC)
Robertm
#2 Posted : 06 December 2012 23:22:16(UTC)
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If the EU is trying to make things difficult for the Swiss outside the Union, the Eurozone members could make things difficult for the other 10.
http://bruxelles.blogs.l...12/goodbye-uk-.html#more

I get the feeling that the UK is being slowly pushed out. Certainly the colleagues will not entertain a repatriation of powers when they are going for full federation of the Eurozone.
http://bruxelles.blogs.l...e-euro-voit-le-jour.html







William Gruff
#3 Posted : 06 December 2012 23:57:36(UTC)
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Dr North

I will be grateful if you would confirm a point for me. As I understand Article 50, should the people of the 'United' Kingdom express, by one means or another, their wish to leave the EU negotiations to that end would be triggered by a 'U'K government application to leave. Should the negotiations prove fruitless the 'U'K will cease to be a member state of the EU two years after the date on which talks were started. Am I correct?

richard
#4 Posted : 07 December 2012 00:02:30(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: William Gruff Go to Quoted Post
Dr North

I will be grateful if you would confirm a point for me. As I understand Article 50, should the people of the 'United' Kingdom express, by one means or another, their wish to leave the EU negotiations to that end would be triggered by a 'U'K government application to leave. Should the negotiations prove fruitless the 'U'K will cease to be a member state of the EU two years after the date on which talks were started. Am I correct?



As a maximum period, yes ... unless extended by mutual agreement. However, in the event of bad faith, and the EU refusing to negotiate or being wholly unrealistic, the Vienna Convention applies and we can walk away from the talks and abrogate unilaterally, yet stay within the framework of international law.

William Gruff
#5 Posted : 07 December 2012 00:42:15(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Robertm Go to Quoted Post
If the EU is trying to make things difficult for the Swiss outside the Union, the Eurozone members could make things difficult for the other 10 ...

Sadly we are no longer in a position to defend ourselves, let alone small European nations. Were that not the case I'd advocate defending Swiss neutrality, particularly since the Germans seem to have a tendency to site POW camps within striking distance of the Swiss border.

Originally Posted by: Robertm Go to Quoted Post
I get the feeling that the UK is being slowly pushed out. Certainly the colleagues will not entertain a repatriation of powers when they are going for full federation of the Eurozone.

Once upon a time 'the repatriation of powers' would have been the stuff of chip wrappers, being only a fiction retailed by the 'U'K media and the political class that feeds from its manifold tits. History has shown, again and again and again, that powers surrendered are rarely regained, except at very considerable cost and much loss of life. Power is enforceable will, whether militarily, politically, socially, intellectually or economically, not some obscure moot point of alleged principle. I'm sure that the Eurozone will collapse before the 'U'K is able to extract itself from the EU. Partly because I'm just as sure that the average 'U'K voter is unable to think much further than the end of the week and is more concerned with the reality of TV than the boring trivialities of ultra long-term politics, if I may coin a phrase, although I'm sure I haven't, and partly because, really, I suspect - having no deep knowledge of parasitic organisms, the EU doesn't really want us out; it wants us in, somewhere cold and dark and useless.

I know nothing of the machinations of the EU (I rely on the good doctor) but, like the working man with a taste for wine, I know I don't like it.
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aster on 07/12/2012(UTC)
Flashman
#6 Posted : 07 December 2012 00:53:12(UTC)
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Would it be possible to have a piece on Article 50 permanently displayed on the website?

Something to quickly and easily point to? ie READ this Mr Farage! BigGrin
Ravenscar
#7 Posted : 07 December 2012 00:54:34(UTC)
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Quote:
And, as Switzerland found, outside the EU, its economy is healthy and unemployment is low. Unsurprisingly, the Swiss have little enthusiasm for Brussels: barely eleven percent, outside the political clique, want membership. The way things are going, the UK won't even have that number in favour of membership.

In that, we would be happy to follow in Switzerland's footsteps



Nirvana + Amen to that!

IMHO; out and free, interim - EEA yes but with none of Brussels sprouting mash.

______________________________________________________________________________________


The book of unaccountable sore points number 39,000,001 = why we must leave this disgustingly corrupt empire - ramshackle and too bloody big for our and its own good.

In 'the Thunderer', dated: Thurs' Dec 6th 2012.

Opinion pages.


"We need to know if £500m of NHS money was wasted" byline Ben Goldacre.

In synopsis [I'm knackered], the Tamiflu laboratory tests results have not been completely revealed. In 2005 Labour spent £500m stockpiling Tamiflu to combat [global warming?] er swine flu.

Quote:

"Roche is withholding info' from about half of the clinical trials, that could tell us if these pills are better than paracetamol"


writes Ben.

This is down to Roche getting away with murder in a metaphorical sense because the rools are dictated by another shady set of twats, namely the grandly titled 'EUROPEAN MEDICINES AGENCY'.

Ben goes on to say:

Quote:
"the new EU clinical trials regulation is full of holes"


No shi7.

Get us out and NOW!

Edited by user 07 December 2012 00:56:13(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

William Gruff
#8 Posted : 07 December 2012 00:54:40(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: richard Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: William Gruff Go to Quoted Post
... I will be grateful if ...


As a maximum period, yes ... unless extended by mutual agreement. However, in the event of bad faith, and the EU refusing to negotiate or being wholly unrealistic, the Vienna Convention applies and we can walk away from the talks and abrogate unilaterally, yet stay within the framework of international law.

'Bad faith'? Very much a point of view, as is 'being wholly unrealistic'. How might those be argued and invoked in any talks within the two year maximum period? My apologies if you've covered this before.

I would say that, like you, I'm not for bursting out of the net by flexing our muscles mindlessly nor chopping off the tentacles of the octophant, even though I would have done with the EU at the earliest opportunity

richard
#9 Posted : 07 December 2012 07:53:03(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Flashman Go to Quoted Post

Would it be possible to have a piece on Article 50 permanently displayed on the website?

Something to quickly and easily point to? ie READ this Mr Farage! BigGrin



I have plans for altering the sidebar over Christmas ... where the "manifesto" and other stuff is. All that needs updating, and now the website is stable, I can start attending to the detail.

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William Gruff on 07/12/2012(UTC)
ELF
#10 Posted : 07 December 2012 09:32:50(UTC)
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Quote:
Brussels has told the Swiss government the EU is no longer interested in pursuing bilateral agreements. Instead Brussels wants Switzerland automatically to adopt EU law - "a suggestion which is already causing Swiss hackles to rise


From wiki
Quote:
while the bilateral approach officially safeguards the right to refuse application of new EU law to Switzerland, in practice this right is severely restricted by the so-called Guillotine Clause, giving both parties a right to cancellation of the entire body of treaties when one new treaty or stipulation cannot be made applicable in Switzerland

Although, I'd say "severely resistricted" depends on the credibility of the EU triggering this nuclear option.

Also, alterations to Swiss banking regs seem to have been extrernally driven.

PS - the Swiss are in EFTA. Is there the pick'n'mix option when you are in the EEA ?

Edited by user 07 December 2012 09:45:55(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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aster on 07/12/2012(UTC)
vincent
#11 Posted : 07 December 2012 10:27:21(UTC)
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On the immigration debate link,the Immigration minister, Mark Harper, when questioned on potential EU immigration estimates from Bulgaria and Romania............

Quote:
The history is relevant, because there is no point in the Government effectively making up a number that is based either on poor data or making a set of assumptions, which are effectively guesses, and bandying around a number that proves inaccurate. That is not sensible.


Never stopped them beforeCool

Well once the borders are open to these two states we can expect a lot more of this

http://www.dailymail.co....say-Slovak-parents.html.

Rotherham social workers will be rubbing their hands at all the extra overtime coming their way.Not to mention lawyers,police,judges and court officials.Mad

Fortunately we soon will have the arrival of the "balance of competences review" which will expose the problem for all to see....oh er wait.....the government doesn't do estimates on those figures...so how accurate is the competence review going to be then?If they ever run out of loo roll in the HOC they will have something to hand as a back up.

Edited by user 07 December 2012 11:00:49(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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aster on 07/12/2012(UTC)
aster
#12 Posted : 07 December 2012 10:35:50(UTC)
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"PS - the Swiss are in EFTA. Is there the pick'n'mix option when you are in the EEA ?" Quote from ELF

Only Woolworths genuinely offered the pick'n'mix option. Surely the point of WW1 and even more so WW2 was the realisation that any power bloc - eg, Germany or Russia - would use its powerful position in an overweening and destructive way, trampling the rights to self determination for all other European nations. The extent that WW2 succeed is best measured by theAllies destruction of the means of pursuing their ambitions - Europe avoided enslavement by either of these behemoths. But Britain was prevented by the Americans from taking the victorious and dominant position.

The US looks like it is flushing itself down the toilet, as the USSR did, but meantime, back at the ranch as they say, we have invited the EUSSR to enslave us, and our Vichy political class of Liberals and Frankfurter School fifth columnists has completely disarmed us politically, socially and economically.

The worst thing of all, IMHO, is how warmly our brave "allies" from WW2 remain locked in the sickening embrace of Euro millions. Whores, lottery winners and other even more disgusting words come to mind. We've lost all that our parents fought for, I am unable to shed a tear over Switzerland being divested of the ill gotten gains of sitting comfortably on the sidelines whilst Europeans practiced genocide on each other.

Personally, I don't have the energy to fight back, having like most of my countrymen, given up, but I am comforted by the idea that the EUSSR will collapse under the sheer weight of the vast numbers of non productive "workers" at every level crammed on to the gravy train.

ELF
#13 Posted : 07 December 2012 11:17:13(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: aster Go to Quoted Post
Only Woolworths genuinely offered the pick'n'mix option. ..... I am unable to shed a tear over Switzerland ..... I am comforted by the idea that the EUSSR will collapse under the sheer weight of the vast numbers of non productive "workers" at every level crammed on to the gravy train.


My question was concerning the formalities of these organisations. I agree, the Westphalian model of sovereignty is under explicit attack.

I don’t buy into the “ EU will collapse and everything will be OK” meme. The nightmare scenario is economic collapse (probably piece-wise, not a single event) with the political system including the UK’s entanglement remaining intact. In the absence of effective political challenges to the system, which are currently negligible, this IMO is the default outcome.

I don’t think the intention is to shed tears for the Swiss. It’s to understand how what they are doing works for them/doesn’t work for them, and how that understanding might be useful for the UK.
aster
#14 Posted : 07 December 2012 11:40:58(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: ELF Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: aster Go to Quoted Post
Only Woolworths genuinely offered the pick'n'mix option. ..... I am unable to shed a tear over Switzerland ..... I am comforted by the idea that the EUSSR will collapse under the sheer weight of the vast numbers of non productive "workers" at every level crammed on to the gravy train.


My question was concerning the formalities of these organisations. I agree, the Westphalian model of sovereignty is under explicit attack.

I don’t buy into the “ EU will collapse and everything will be OK” meme. The nightmare scenario is economic collapse (probably piece-wise, not a single event) with the political system including the UK’s entanglement remaining intact. In the absence of effective political challenges to the system, which are currently negligible, this IMO is the default outcome.

I don’t think the intention is to shed tears for the Swiss. It’s to understand how what they are doing works for them/doesn’t work for them, and how that understanding might be useful for the UK.



Apologies ELF, I did not attempt to answer your question - no better man than Richard,.

Nor did I mean to impose my bad tempered view on you, and I agree entirely with your collapse scenario,
although my view is that the nightmare scenario has already arrived. We're at the slow-mo stage of the collision
IMHO, and if there is to be a return to sanity it will begin as we clear up the wreckage.

You are right to say that understanding the Swiss position is a good way of identifying useful options and effective political challenges
which we could persuade our government to use to benefit Britain.

If the Swiss can't hang on to a few bob, probably nobody can, so yes, let's see if it possible to hang on to some shred of economic and political freedom by political means, and find out if this can be done soon and peacefully.

Edited by user 07 December 2012 11:48:52(UTC)  | Reason: edit

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ELF on 07/12/2012(UTC)
ELF
#15 Posted : 07 December 2012 11:50:10(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: aster Go to Quoted Post

Apologies ELF, I did not attempt to answer your question - no better man than Richard.


Thanks, but hey – none required. ThumpUp ( I know my style can be a bit succinct )

Edited by user 07 December 2012 11:50:51(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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aster on 07/12/2012(UTC)
Ravenscar
#16 Posted : 07 December 2012 13:34:41(UTC)
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Quote:
The nightmare scenario is economic collapse (probably piece-wise, not a single event) with the political system including the UK’s entanglement remaining intact. In the absence of effective political challenges to the system, which are currently negligible, this IMO is the default outcome.



'nother cheery post ELF, you are probably imho spot on.



Think I'll go and throw me sen off Bempton cliffs.

Edited by user 07 December 2012 13:35:30(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Yokel
#17 Posted : 07 December 2012 14:08:49(UTC)
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Thinking aloud ...
Widely reported that the EUssr have in fact told Salmond that a newly-independent-of-the-UK Scotland would have to re-apply for membership of the EU. The implication being that the new terms will not be particularly favourable to the Scots.

So I wonder ... What would happen of the English had a referendum and voted to leave the United Kingdom?

I can't think of a downside; is there one?
F U Fed Up
#18 Posted : 07 December 2012 14:49:25(UTC)
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I know Switzerland quite well and it is a major sore point for the colleagues, as the population have gone from being near 50/50 for and against, to a very solid anti and that is due to watching what the EU has done/ruined.

Not listening to referenda that went against them scared a lot of Swiss badly and they have also had to put up with loads of EU regs that they see as petty, useless and in Schengens case outright dangerous. In short they have watched the EU's behavior and performance and are very,very gratefull they never fully joined and that really pisses the colleagues off.



comet
#19 Posted : 07 December 2012 14:52:02(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: ELF Go to Quoted Post

My question was concerning the formalities of these organisations. I agree, the Westphalian model of sovereignty is under explicit attack.

I don’t buy into the “ EU will collapse and everything will be OK” meme. The nightmare scenario is economic collapse (probably piece-wise, not a single event) with the political system including the UK’s entanglement remaining intact. In the absence of effective political challenges to the system, which are currently negligible, this IMO is the default outcome.


But economic collapse is also likely to trigger the forces of nationalism, as we've seen before. The EU is largely an attempt to defuse those forces. Ill considered expansion was always going to be an Achilles' Heel. Had the EU and the Euro been less ambitious and reckless the problems it faces now would have been at least less severe.

I think what we are seeing is another crisis in statism, corporatism or whatever you call it; the big state run by wise ones, who've neutralised democratic feedback, not being very good at doing anything and the wise ones not turning out to be so wise. We've seen it before with the experiments with communism in the 20th century, which actually weren't communism or the dictatorship of the proletariat. You could say that in chaos, those who are organised are most likely to take charge and prevail, but the EU isn't very good at using force, it's always been about making life easy for politicians and bureaucrats, and that assumes a background of stability.

My nightmare is that the EU breaks up and the UK continues as the last outpost. The EU mentality is deeply ingrained in the UK establishment.

As far as I can see the Colleagues are trying to force Switzerland into a mould they are thanking their lucky stars for avoiding. They can apply pressure, but the Swiss system allows for the bloody mindedness of the Swiss people to express itself. Presumably, the goal is to get Switzerland to join in financing Club Med and relieving the strain on Germany.

Originally Posted by: ELF Go to Quoted Post


I don’t think the intention is to shed tears for the Swiss. It’s to understand how what they are doing works for them/doesn’t work for them, and how that understanding might be useful for the UK.


I can see that, but there's a difference between a country which never got in and dealt with the EU when it was less well developed and more tractable, and the UK which has been sucked in and is left extracting itself from the mire.

In both cases, there's no pretending the EU doesn't exist or can simply be dictated to rather than negotiated with. The Swiss are very different to the British in all sorts of ways,






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William Gruff
#20 Posted : 07 December 2012 18:05:45(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Yokel Go to Quoted Post
... What would happen of the English had a referendum and voted to leave the United Kingdom?

I can't think of a downside; is there one?

We would have to give serious consideration to how to spend our money, and there would be lots and lots and lots of it, on ourselves instead of the rest of the world.

Edited by user 07 December 2012 18:06:38(UTC)  | Reason: Wrong preposition.

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