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richard
#1 Posted : 30 November 2012 23:05:04(UTC)
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A frequent theme of this blog is the politico-media bubble, alongside the observation that both the media and the politicians are completely out of touch.

Nothing seems to illustrate this better than comment on election results, the cold, hard reality if which is an unhealthy detachment of the people from politics. A superb example of this is the latest article from the loss-making Guardian.

This paper tells us that "by-elections march to their own drum". "Their results don't tell us the outcome of the next general election, but nor should their lessons be ignored. The principal message from Thursday – though not the most newsworthy one – is that these results are good for Labour. Three wins are three wins, and in each case Labour put its share of the vote up".

View full article here

and

Reading figures and understanding their significance, one would have thought, was an essential skill, and especially for the likes of Professor Anthony King, political pundit extraordinaire. Yet, in Daily Mail this morning, he misreads the result of the Rotherham by-election, to tell us that the 22 percent share of the vote gained by UKIP was "spectacular".

What was actually "spectacular" in a perverse sort of way, was the turnout, at 33.89 percent. This was a constituency which, in the January 1910 general election managed a turnout of 82.5 percent, delivering a victory to the Liberal candidate William Holland who took 72.4 percent of the votes cast.

Rotherham's first Labour MP was actually Fred Lindley, who took the seat in the 1923 general election, on a reduced turnout of 75.3 percent, but he did take 53.9 percent of the vote, taking 16,893 votes in all.

View full article here

Edited by user 01 December 2012 10:08:37(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

Niall Warry
#2 Posted : 30 November 2012 23:48:42(UTC)
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This climate of traditional political collapse can only help our fledgling Harrogate Agenda grow.
Ravenscar
#3 Posted : 01 December 2012 00:27:28(UTC)
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Quote:
There is the politico-media bubble, and there is the rest of us. And, increasingly, we have nothing in common.



Ain't that the truth.


In2minds
#4 Posted : 01 December 2012 00:56:01(UTC)
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I'm just back home after spending all day with some young and very gifted jazz musicians. Only one knew that there had been a number of by-elections held but could not say how many. None knew the results and none are registered to vote, one 'thought' they had heard the name Denis MacShane but could say no more that that. These were not stupid people, they have years of study to their credit.


But what they could all do was complain about the way we, as a society, do things. The cost of living being a typical moan. For example none of them felt that a rise in the cost of energy was justified. These are the sort of people who regard politics as a deviant activity, but are also the very people we must get onside with the Harrogate Agenda.

And I feel this will be awkward for some other people, those already onside and who 'do' politics 25 hours a day to understand the nature of the task. The usual problem with political people is they think their 'brand' of politics is fantastic and all the others rubbish. But the musicians I met cannot tell Stork from butter, if you see what I mean. So I suggest some serious thinking goes into how to promote the HA. You may only get one chance.





mmatis
#5 Posted : 01 December 2012 02:54:29(UTC)
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They care not how few people vote for them. They only care that your Betters remain in charge. Regardless of whether those Betters are Bliar or Brown or Cameron, the rest shall be kept in the manner to which they have become accustomed. The ONLY thing intolerable for them would be for ones who are NOT your Betters to gain station. But the Media shall always do their best to insure no such thing ever occurs.
John Archer
#6 Posted : 01 December 2012 03:04:53(UTC)
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ADDED: I see jazz606 was well ahead of me on this on the UK politics: the stay-at-home elections thread, which I hadn't read before posting what's below. Great minds .... :) [01/12/2012 at 3:09pm]
_______



I like this idea of the Sod Off Party, though a more apt name would be the F#cking Sod Off Party. It should be implicitly and actually a candidate in all elections.

The winning candidate, as usual, should be the one gaining the largest number of votes but with the twist that all members of the relevant electorate who didn't turn out to vote will have their votes automatically cast for the Sod Off Party. In the event that that party wins no candidate will be put in office and the seat will remain vacant until the next General Election.

So the constituents won't have an MP, and possibly for 5 years? Yes, that's their problem, if it is a problem at all, which I don't think it is these days. In fact, it would be wholly beneficial — we'd soon get rid of a lot of those less than useless bastards.

On the other hand, looking at it from the point of view of the concerned 'great & good' who pretend to desire more voter involvement "in the interests of democracy", I think it could have precisely that effect. Though whether your typical non-voter would be inspired to think more carefully before casting his vote, or whether it would encourage more independents to chance their arms I wouldn't like to guess.

I do like the idea though.

Edited by user 01 December 2012 15:08:25(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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meltemian on 01/12/2012(UTC)
thespecialone
#7 Posted : 01 December 2012 08:34:46(UTC)
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The F*cking Sod Off Party is just about right. Where I live it will always be either an LD or Tory MP. At the next general election I am going to put a poster on my door telling the parties not to bother as I will not be voting for them. This is from a person who used to religiously push leaflets through doors for the Tories come rain or shine. I am so disillusioned with them all that none of them represent anything near what I believe in. Ok, so even in good times no political party will promise/deliver everything that everybody believes in, but at least you knew what Labour etc stood for even if you disagreed.

DM has actually mentioned the turnout in its comment today and that people are turning away from the mainstream parties so at least that has been recognised.

Edited by user 01 December 2012 08:35:30(UTC)  | Reason: Correct a grammatical error

richard
#8 Posted : 01 December 2012 08:47:58(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: thespecialone Go to Quoted Post
The F*cking Sod Off Party is just about right. Where I live it will always be either an LD or Tory MP. At the next general election I am going to put a poster on my door telling the parties not to bother as I will not be voting for them. This is from a person who used to religiously push leaflets through doors for the Tories come rain or shine. I am so disillusioned with them all that none of them represent anything near what I believe in. Ok, so even in good times no political party will promise/deliver everything that everybody believes in, but at least you knew what Labour etc stood for even if you disagreed.

DM has actually mentioned the turnout in its comment today and that people are turning away from the mainstream parties so at least that has been recognised.




The problem is that people who are turning away from the mainstream parties (now minority parties) are not going for the tiddlers. The low turnout flatters UKIP, as the proportion of the votes cast increase, but the actual percentage of the electorate stays obstinately low.

Ravenscar
#9 Posted : 01 December 2012 09:14:24(UTC)
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That Guardian article, is a pathetic piece and desperately clutching at straws, written no doubt by some little miss know **** all and li'l' dahling of the left and of course the Icarus twins - Ed and Ed.

In2minds makes an interesting point, young kids still 'do' jazz? Wow, you live and learn and obviously intelligent kids but totally removed (and unconcerned) from the political sphere - and lots of other men and women too besides who can't, don't or want to - to give a fig about the sleazy world of politics. There is a vast untapped field of potential voters out there but then how are we to make contact - if they do not choose to engage?

mmatis, is correct, we are facing an almost insurmountable obstacle, the 'establishment' and the fourth estate will always attempt to keep "we the people" and firmly out of the main picture - "God forbid old boy that the people actually had a choice.....(cough splutter) and where's the servant with that bally brandy!"

John Archer, the FSOP - an interesting [though a somewhat unfeasible] idea and I honestly sense the anger behind the words, real dark stuff John and yet I must agree with your idea and second it.

thespecialone, bad people exploit good people in politics, you have seen the light, when will all of the eejits who vote for any of the LiblabCon claque have a similar revelation?

Looking at Rotherham and Middlesborough - one can only despair at man's supreme ability to ape forefathers and continue and maintain crass stupidity - one which attends no benefit whatsoever to the people of their respective constituencies.
Ghandi
#10 Posted : 01 December 2012 12:18:26(UTC)
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"82.5 percent of a century before...to this week's high-profile by-election, the turnout drops to 33.63 percent. A hundred-plus years have cut the turnout by sixty percent."

Oh dear.
And in an article about numerical illiteracy too.BigGrin
Furthermore, Anthony King does not say that 22% is spectacular, he says it is "short of spectacular", in an article that basically dismisses UKIP..

However, if I can just interrupt the UKIP bashing, does anyone know what percentage of the electorate that the Tories and Lib Dems got in these six byelections?

Edited by user 01 December 2012 12:36:06(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

James102
#11 Posted : 01 December 2012 12:28:52(UTC)
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I think you have highlighted possibly the main reason there seems to be an underlining resentment towards our political class.
Take the Blair years where are society was subjected to virtually revolutionary change.
What were the electoral results that resulted in Blair’s government? If we look at the results 10,724,953 voted Labour, 33,678,343 didn’t.15, 643,903 voted for another party, 18,034,440 did not vote.
Unless we believe they are operating shredding machines in the Town Halls what is happening?
There are also continuing concerns about electoral fraud both in the postal voting system and our lax identity requirement.
Like others I pose the problems but what if anything needs to change? Will it take a party not approved of by our political class to win a seat on a low turnout before the problem is taken seriously? Is representative democracy dying?
richard
#12 Posted : 01 December 2012 12:43:31(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Ghandi Go to Quoted Post
"82.5 percent of a century before...to this week's high-profile by-election, the turnout drops to 33.63 percent. A hundred-plus years have cut the turnout by sixty percent."

Oh dear.
And in an article about numerical illiteracy too.BigGrin
Furthermore, Anthony King does not say that 22% is spectacular, he says it is "short of spectacular".

If I can just interrupt the UKIP bashing, does anyone know what percentage of the electorate that the Tories and Lib Dems got in these six byelections?




Welcome to the forum and thank you for the correction on the "spectacular.

As to numerical literacy, there is nothing wrong with my arithmetic. A drop from 82.5 percent turnout to 33.53 percent means that, proportionately, the 2012 electorate that came out to vote was only 40 percent of the size it was in 2012 ... i.e., a 60 percent drop in those voting (taking 82.5 percent as the datum, representing 100 percent).

And for the spectacularly challenged on comprehension, this post was not about UKIP ... the hint was even in the text:

Quote:
At this point, I must emphasise, the focus is on Professor Anthony King, not UKIP. It is his performance under review. And for him to assert that a political party – any political party – has become a "shelter for the politically homeless" on the back of 3.3 percent of the electorate, is utterly bizarre.


The piece was about the collapse of the political process.

Meanwhile, if you want to know what the Tory and Lib Dem percentages are, I suggest you work them out for yourself - if your arithmetic is up to it.

Edited by user 01 December 2012 12:57:09(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

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mmatis on 01/12/2012(UTC)
comet
#13 Posted : 01 December 2012 12:58:31(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: mmatis Go to Quoted Post
They care not how few people vote for them. They only care that your Betters remain in charge. Regardless of whether those Betters are Bliar or Brown or Cameron, the rest shall be kept in the manner to which they have become accustomed. The ONLY thing intolerable for them would be for ones who are NOT your Betters to gain station. But the Media shall always do their best to insure no such thing ever occurs.


They realise there's a problem with low turnout and lack of legitimacy and acknowledge it occasionally. However, they want it fixed on their own terms, such as public funding for political parties, but of course, only the right sort of political parties would qualify.

Fixing things on their own terms to make life comfortable for them, is what's causing the problem in the first place. So they don't want it fixed at all, they want a paint job - a "quick blow over" as they say in the motor trade.

It's like two car companies which have been producing the Model T Ford and the Austin Seven for the last 50 years. They're easy to make and if you don't want to walk, you're stuck with one or the other. Both companies are perfectly happy with this and neither want to take a risk and spend on R&D to develop new models. While they have an agreement, life is easy. They can see there's a danger that people are so fed up with both, they'd rather walk. Government subsidies for their junk would spin the racket out.

TheBoilingFrog
#14 Posted : 01 December 2012 13:21:18(UTC)
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What better illustration of the crisis in democracy than the Daily Mail and the Morning Star essentially agreeing with each other.
James102
#15 Posted : 01 December 2012 13:22:36(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: comet Go to Quoted Post
[quote=mmatis;6816] However, they want it fixed on their own terms, such as public funding for political parties, but of course, only the right sort of political parties would qualify.






And soon approved newspapers and publications?
Some of the disillusionment must be down to the State being seen as unchangeable and separated from the political process. This is reinforced whenever the judiciary over rules an elected politician as we see in so-called Human Rights’ cases.
The judiciary and legal establishment are at the heart of a lot of these problems, can you imagine any legislation that damaged their interests being implemented? A reduction in legal aid? Restricting legal aid to British citizens?
More direct democracy is the answer but vested interests will not allow it.

Ravenscar
#16 Posted : 01 December 2012 14:03:17(UTC)
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Fraud.

My first point is this, the Electoral Commission - are they investigating the inbuilt rottenness of the postal ballot, I mean - I thought they were but being full of common purpose apparats perhaps not?

What absolutely needs to be made known is a breakdown % of all the recent ballots, broken down and divided into allocations to each and all political candidates.

So, if 21% turned out in Rotherham, how many postal votes were counted for Labour, Tory, UKIP etc.............call me cynical but the proportion will greatly favour the Socialist candidate, this is a unarguable reason to completely bin the postal ballot - it skews results and is wide open to fraud.

On KING.

King's article is poor and not well thought out at all. How can any store be set on by-election ballots?

The main point being that people are mightily fed up with all the politicians. However, it has raised UKIPs profile, they are on the map, how many people actually noticed is open to debate but the (Westminster) bubble knows about them now.

Miliband, that Marxist gimp is as usual desperately grasping air and looking for a vestige of legitimacy - who knows what the Labour voting electorate think of him, however - it cannot be much - "feel the love" he's altered it to "try to feel something, anything but total apathy".

And that's it isn't it - a complete apathy towards all politics and Westminster.

I have been thinking on this, looking at the paltry turnouts, I believe many people are just not bothered about politics anyway [what a shame that is] but amongst the men and women who actually do exercise their franchise - their concentration is wavering and the will is waning - to get out of the house and vote.

Maybe it is that. many of the electorate have unknowingly reached a collective conclusion that whosoever they vote for - it is a wasted vote.
Furthermore, whether it is a subconscious thought, or a rational deliberation - most men and women realise that the EU rule this land and that there is no redress or come back from Brussels. And if one looks towards other nations in the EU - voting numbers are down in many countries.

The EU and it's pervasive malign influence has razed to its foundations what was left of the democratic process.

Edited by user 01 December 2012 14:08:22(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

James102
#17 Posted : 01 December 2012 14:12:13(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Ravenscar Go to Quoted Post
Fraud.


Maybe it is that. many of the electorate have unknowingly reached a collective conclusion that whosoever they vote for - it is a wasted vote.
Furthermore, whether it is a subconscious thought, or a rational deliberation - most men and women realise that the EU rule this land and that there is no redress or come back from Brussels. And if one looks towards other nations in the EU - voting numbers are down in many countries.

The EU and it's pervasive malign influence has killed what was left of the democratic process.



Yes the EU is at the heart of the problem but the public don’t really appreciate the extent their laws are made in Brussels as the political establishment takes the credit/blame.


James102
#18 Posted : 01 December 2012 14:14:48(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: comet Go to Quoted Post
[quote=mmatis;6816]

It's like two car companies which have been producing the Model T Ford and the Austin Seven for the last 50 years. They're easy to make and if you don't want to walk, you're stuck with one or the other. Both companies are perfectly happy with this and neither want to take a risk and spend on R&D to develop new models. While they have an agreement, life is easy. They can see there's a danger that people are so fed up with both, they'd rather walk. Government subsidies for their junk would spin the racket out.



Yes a point made by Douglas Carswell in his excellent book: “the End of Politics and the birth of iDemocracy”
TheBoilingFrog
#19 Posted : 01 December 2012 14:22:38(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: James102 Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Ravenscar Go to Quoted Post
Fraud.


Maybe it is that. many of the electorate have unknowingly reached a collective conclusion that whosoever they vote for - it is a wasted vote.
Furthermore, whether it is a subconscious thought, or a rational deliberation - most men and women realise that the EU rule this land and that there is no redress or come back from Brussels. And if one looks towards other nations in the EU - voting numbers are down in many countries.

The EU and it's pervasive malign influence has killed what was left of the democratic process.



Yes the EU is at the heart of the problem but the public don’t really appreciate the extent their laws are made in Brussels as the political establishment takes the credit/blame.




No, the heart of the problem lies here - in the UK, not the EU. Brussels is merely a symptom of democratic dysfunctional malaise at home. We are members because TPTB here wish it, not because the EU forces us. The Harrogate Agenda attempts to sort out our own broken democracy, the happy consequences of which should it succeed will be, by default, the removal of us from the EU.

Edited by user 01 December 2012 14:34:20(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

comet
#20 Posted : 01 December 2012 14:39:54(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: TheBoilingFrog Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: James102 Go to Quoted Post



Yes the EU is at the heart of the problem but the public don’t really appreciate the extent their laws are made in Brussels as the political establishment takes the credit/blame.




No, the heart of the problem lies here - in the UK, not the EU. Brussels is merely a symptom of democratic dysfunctional malaise at home. We are members because TPTB here wish it, not because the EU forces us. The Harrogate Agenda attempts to sort out our own broken democracy, the happy consequences of which should it succeed will be, by default, the removal of us from the EU.



Yes TBF. It's important not to fall into the seductive trap of thinking of Brussels as a foreign government made up of a lot of nasty foreigners, ordering a resentful UK government about. It's very clear that British governments have been determined to be a part of it and play a part in it.

Since a large part of the problem is home-grown, it follows that merely leaving the EU wouldn't automatically fix it, although there's no doubt it would make it easier to fix.
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