logo
Welcome Guest! To enable all features please Login or Register.

Notification

Icon
Error

2 Pages12>
richard
#1 Posted : 26 November 2012 11:38:12(UTC)
Richard

Rank: Administration

Groups: Registered, Administrators
Joined: 16/04/2012(UTC)
Posts: 2,952
United Kingdom
Location: Bradford

Thanks: 96 times
Was thanked: 293 time(s) in 245 post(s)
On 7 July 2012, Booker raised the issue of Article 50, as a means of withdrawing from the EU. The piece drew a response from "veteran campaigner", Torquil Dick-Erikson, in the following terms:

Article 50 is a trap: In the typical Napoleonic-state style, with one hand it purports to grant a right, the right to withdraw from the EU, but with the other hand it restricts it, so much so that it reduces it to nothing. The catch, hidden within article 50, lies in the two-year waiting period that a withdrawing state must wait before it can consider itself sovereign once again, if no agreement on the terms of withdrawal is reached with the others.

He was answered (by me) thus:

I would suggest that you have misread the Article. The two year period is a maximum, unless there is an agreed extension. See 50(3):

The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.

In this instance, Torquil did not respond to the comment. But again, this time on 24 November 2012, Booker again raised the issue of Article 50. And we got this from Torquil Dick-Erikson ...

View full article here
TheBoilingFrog
#2 Posted : 26 November 2012 12:02:37(UTC)
TheBoilingFrog

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 17/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 371
United Kingdom
Location: Didcot

Thanks: 21 times
Was thanked: 25 time(s) in 22 post(s)
At the risk of sounding obvious is 'dick' part of his name or a description?
richard
#3 Posted : 26 November 2012 12:16:27(UTC)
Richard

Rank: Administration

Groups: Registered, Administrators
Joined: 16/04/2012(UTC)
Posts: 2,952
United Kingdom
Location: Bradford

Thanks: 96 times
Was thanked: 293 time(s) in 245 post(s)
Originally Posted by: TheBoilingFrog Go to Quoted Post
At the risk of sounding obvious is 'dick' part of his name or a description?



You know me ... I would never be so rude!

comet
#4 Posted : 26 November 2012 12:17:08(UTC)
comet

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 20/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 614
United Kingdom
Location: gloucestershire

Thanks: 4 times
Was thanked: 64 time(s) in 53 post(s)
Quote:
There, of course, Mr Cameron has a way of completely neutralising the eurosceptic threat, if he choose to take it. With his very substantial resources, he could devise his own exit plan, couched in such terms as to make it clear that we would no longer be members of the EU


No part of Cameron's or the Conservative Party's thinking involves leaving the EU and not being subject to all of its regulations. They are clearly determined it won't happen.

They've said consistently that their policy is not to leave the EU. I'm convinced they would rather not be in office than be in office and have to deal with leaving the EU. They'd rather see the Conservative Party reduced to a rump than face that. As it is, UKIP could damage them in the next GE, but it would be a very good result for UKIP if they got a couple of MPs. The ball will be safely passed to the Labour Party.

They've had to put on a Eurosceptic side show over the years and a few apparent mavericks have been part of it, but we have seen the likes of Hannan and Johnson respond to the helm and support the repatriation/reform chanting, pretty sharpish. The Conservative way of neutralising the Eurosceptic threat has been to make a few gestures to give hope, and have a few vociferous sceptics giving the idea that the party could be changed from within, hoovering up Eurosceptic sentiment and letting it run into the sand. It's worked very well.

Cameron's strategy is to keep the issue at bay until the next GE.

None of the political and administrative establishment want the UK to leave the EU. Seriously investigating an exit plan would put the idea of leaving indisputably on the agenda. Far better to continue pretending it's so obviously disastrous and nonsensical that it simply isn't worth considering.

Niall Warry
#5 Posted : 26 November 2012 12:17:34(UTC)
Niall Warry

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 17/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 246
United Kingdom
Location: Somerset

Thanks: 2 times
Was thanked: 26 time(s) in 23 post(s)
It is surely a good thing that this debate, Article 50 v Treaty of Rome, is starting to open up but I guess the danger is that each side simply entrenches its position.

As I see it we are now so woven into the EU club that we need to use our heads and not our muscle to extract ourselves.

The EU, surprisingly some might say, sets out the route via Article 50 to follow if a Country wants to leave and so IMO it behoves us to follow that path.

Nobody can believe leaving the EU will be trouble free but by not following the rules we invite the EU to dump on us from a great height which they would be very happy to do.

Follow the rules and negotiate or take the law into our own hands and suffer the consequences - it really is that simple.
comet
#6 Posted : 26 November 2012 12:26:58(UTC)
comet

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 20/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 614
United Kingdom
Location: gloucestershire

Thanks: 4 times
Was thanked: 64 time(s) in 53 post(s)
Originally Posted by: Niall Warry Go to Quoted Post

Follow the rules and negotiate or take the law into our own hands and suffer the consequences - it really is that simple.


There are risks either way.

It's certainly possible that the Article 50 route could be frustrated and made unworkable by the people executing it.

The stroke of a pen, declare ourselves out, repeal a few acts, the paperwork catches up with things, and we all live happily ever after, has huge and obvious problems.

I think a lot depends on the attempts to keep the Eurozone afloat.

The current surge in Euroscepticism is largely fueled by the mess the Eurozone is in, and the fact that there seems no easy end to it.
ELF
#7 Posted : 26 November 2012 12:47:02(UTC)
ELF

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 18/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 232
United Kingdom

Thanks: 17 times
Was thanked: 13 time(s) in 11 post(s)
Richard ,

We trigger Article 50, with the intention of joining the EEA. Can we apply to the EEA on day 1, in parallel with the EU negotiation? We can, presumably, unilaterally incorporate the existing EU legislation into UK law? There are obvious constitutional advantages in leaving the EU for the EEA, which in the course of time can be translated into practical benefits, and it dissociates us from the eurozone full integration agenda. But, in terms of the nuts’n’bolts of everyday life, commerce etc., if the first 2 actions are possible, do you have an indicative feel for what % would be left to be covered by the EU negotiation?
Niall Warry
#8 Posted : 26 November 2012 12:54:10(UTC)
Niall Warry

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 17/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 246
United Kingdom
Location: Somerset

Thanks: 2 times
Was thanked: 26 time(s) in 23 post(s)
Originally Posted by: comet Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Niall Warry Go to Quoted Post

Follow the rules and negotiate or take the law into our own hands and suffer the consequences - it really is that simple.


There are risks either way.

It's certainly possible that the Article 50 route could be frustrated and made unworkable by the people executing it.

The stroke of a pen, declare ourselves out, repeal a few acts, the paperwork catches up with things, and we all live happily ever after, has huge and obvious problems.

I think a lot depends on the attempts to keep the Eurozone afloat.

The current surge in Euroscepticism is largely fueled by the mess the Eurozone is in, and the fact that there seems no easy end to it.


Richard has expalined that one of the consequences of leaving via the Treaty of Rome route is that once out all EU coutries and ports could NOT legally trade with the UK with the said country/port breaking EU rules.

Under these circumstances I can see the EU wanting to inflict as much damage as possible on us.

TheBoilingFrog
#9 Posted : 26 November 2012 12:56:24(UTC)
TheBoilingFrog

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 17/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 371
United Kingdom
Location: Didcot

Thanks: 21 times
Was thanked: 25 time(s) in 22 post(s)
Originally Posted by: richard Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: TheBoilingFrog Go to Quoted Post
At the risk of sounding obvious is 'dick' part of his name or a description?



You know me ... I would never be so rude!



Of course not BigGrin

Leaving flippancy aside I'm getting the impression that yourself and Booker are...erm...laying bait - will the chap in question (and I don't mean Torquil Dick-Erikson) bite? (I'm not so sure he will) though with contact with your 'favourite' person in politics you would know better than I on the odds

Edited by user 26 November 2012 17:17:35(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

pipesmoker
#10 Posted : 26 November 2012 13:03:06(UTC)
pipesmoker

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 18/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 79
United Kingdom
Location: Burton upon Trent

Thanks: 57 times
Was thanked: 8 time(s) in 5 post(s)
Torquil Dick-Erikson, I always thought he was onside but.....

Having been for a vote on the issue, not intending to vote in a General Election until we are granted one, my take is all we have to do is be vigilant and wait for the monster to destroy itself. The problem, as with the climate change issue, is too many people have well paid jobs relying on it's continuance and they are going to put up a dirty fight? We just have to be patient, it is going our way, and seize the opportunity when it comes our way?

richard
#11 Posted : 26 November 2012 13:46:36(UTC)
Richard

Rank: Administration

Groups: Registered, Administrators
Joined: 16/04/2012(UTC)
Posts: 2,952
United Kingdom
Location: Bradford

Thanks: 96 times
Was thanked: 293 time(s) in 245 post(s)
Originally Posted by: ELF Go to Quoted Post
Richard ,

We trigger Article 50, with the intention of joining the EEA. Can we apply to the EEA on day 1, in parallel with the EU negotiation? We can, presumably, unilaterally incorporate the existing EU legislation into UK law? There are obvious constitutional advantages in leaving the EU for the EEA, which in the course of time can be translated into practical benefits, and it dissociates us from the eurozone full integration agenda. But, in terms of the nuts’n’bolts of everyday life, commerce etc., if the first 2 actions are possible, do you have an indicative feel for what % would be left to be covered by the EU negotiation?



We are already members of the EEA, by virtue of our membership of the EU. What we would do is negotiate continuity of membership, opting to keep it current even outside the EU. We might, however, wish to rejoin EFTA.

Overall, one can then imagine negotiations going quite smoothly ... we adopt virtually everything in the acquis, the difference being that it is nationalised, and we can work on getting rid.

theenglishpainter
#12 Posted : 26 November 2012 14:03:34(UTC)
theenglishpainter

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 18/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 22
United Kingdom
Location: London

Any chance someone could point me in the right direction (link?) with regard to an understandable (and true) explanation of the consequences (and problems) involved in (trying) repeal the European Communities Act 1972.
gareth
#13 Posted : 26 November 2012 14:39:43(UTC)
gareth

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 18/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 128

Thanks: 1 times
Was thanked: 10 time(s) in 9 post(s)
Originally Posted by: Niall Warry Go to Quoted Post
Richard has expalined that one of the consequences of leaving via the Treaty of Rome route is that once out all EU coutries and ports could NOT legally trade with the UK with the said country/port breaking EU rules.

Under these circumstances I can see the EU wanting to inflict as much damage as possible on us.
Alternatively the EU might want us out without much fuss and without losing us as a market to trade with, so that they can get on with better aligning the EU with the Eurozone.

Though if the UK demonstrated that leaving the grip of the EU was achievable and not painful other member states might follow. That might even be a good thing if it rapidly reduced the EU to match the Eurozone and removed many political obstacles to further integration.
IanReid
#14 Posted : 26 November 2012 14:47:24(UTC)
IanReid

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 20/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 51
United Kingdom
Location: London

Was thanked: 3 time(s) in 3 post(s)
Originally Posted by: gareth Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Niall Warry Go to Quoted Post
Richard has expalined that one of the consequences of leaving via the Treaty of Rome route is that once out all EU coutries and ports could NOT legally trade with the UK with the said country/port breaking EU rules.

Under these circumstances I can see the EU wanting to inflict as much damage as possible on us.
Alternatively the EU might want us out without much fuss and without losing us as a market to trade with, so that they can get on with better aligning the EU with the Eurozone.

Though if the UK demonstrated that leaving the grip of the EU was achievable and not painful other member states might follow. That might even be a good thing if it rapidly reduced the EU to match the Eurozone and removed many political obstacles to further integration.


I ought to know being a long time reader of this site I know, but.... Can someone tell me out of the EU 27, and soon to be 28 with Serbia, how many of these countries are currently in the Eurozone, how many aren't but are obliged by treaty to be so sometime in the future. If you tell me that I can then do the math (as the Americans would say), and figure out how many other countries will be in the same boat as the UK i.e. in the EU, but not been sucked into the vortex of the Eurozone.

graham wood
#15 Posted : 26 November 2012 15:25:26(UTC)
graham wood

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 17/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 83
United Kingdom
Location: york

Thanks: 1 times
Was thanked: 15 time(s) in 14 post(s)
Comet said:
Quote:
No part of Cameron's or the Conservative Party's thinking involves leaving the EU and not being subject to all of its regulations. They are clearly determined it won't happen.

They've said consistently that their policy is not to leave the EU. I'm convinced they would rather not be in office than be in office and have to deal with leaving the EU. They'd rather see the Conservative Party reduced to a rump than face that. As it is, UKIP could damage them in the next GE, but it would be a very good result for UKIP if they got a couple of MPs. The ball will be safely passed to the Labour Party.

They've had to put on a Eurosceptic side show over the years and a few apparent mavericks have been part of it, but we have seen the likes of Hannan and Johnson respond to the helm and support the repatriation/reform chanting, pretty sharpish. The Conservative way of neutralising the Eurosceptic threat has been to make a few gestures to give hope, and have a few vociferous sceptics giving the idea that the party could be changed from within, hoovering up Eurosceptic sentiment and letting it run into the sand. It's worked very well.

Cameron's strategy is to keep the issue at bay until the next GE.


Agree entirely. Richard, I find it hard from all that DC has affirmed again and again, that you really believe the closing para of your piece! As for his "personal aspiration" - where do you find any evidnce for this?

Surely the UK has either option - to go down the route of Article 50 of Lisbon, or that of repealing the ECA 1972. The latter would mean in effect we have opened the exit door anyway, and changed the relationship de facto. The question we are debating is which is the better option? Either way it will be messy, long drawn out - at least two years if the former, and subject to the prospect of endless embittered relations and then negotiations with the EU commission.
If as Comet has rightly surmised it is not the intention of Cameron or any main political party to repeal the '72 Act, then that only leaves the second option. The reality is that under this administration neither is a realistic prospect - so I agree that the likely scenario probably depends on the final fate of the Eurozone and a continuation of the existing uncertainty for as long as it takes for the Euro to finally collapse.
If we were in Cameron's shoes, and given that he is spineless and tossed about by the factions within his own party - then it makes sense for him to keep up the hypocritical 'I'm as good a eurosceptic as the next chap' and keep the issue at bay for as long as possible to avoid all out war in his party.
ELF
#16 Posted : 26 November 2012 15:29:16(UTC)
ELF

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 18/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 232
United Kingdom

Thanks: 17 times
Was thanked: 13 time(s) in 11 post(s)
Originally Posted by: richard Go to Quoted Post
We are already members of the EEA, by virtue of our membership of the EU. What we would do is negotiate continuity of membership, opting to keep it current even outside the EU. We might, however, wish to rejoin EFTA.

Thanks.[ And apologies. I should have known this, but some low level mental process ejects these things from memory ] I guess part of my question was who are the gatekeepers for continuity of our EEA membership, i.e. is this part of our EU negotiations or separate ? Having gone to wiki, the EEA is an agreement between EFTA and the EU. With the Swiss (EFTA members) opted out and having a bilateral agreement with the EU. So, if we were re-accepted to EFTA, our EEA membership would be automatic (unless we did a Switzerland). Otherwise, it would be part of our EU negotiations and we would become an additional 3rd. signatory to the EEA. ??

Edited by user 26 November 2012 15:34:55(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

richard
#17 Posted : 26 November 2012 15:48:12(UTC)
Richard

Rank: Administration

Groups: Registered, Administrators
Joined: 16/04/2012(UTC)
Posts: 2,952
United Kingdom
Location: Bradford

Thanks: 96 times
Was thanked: 293 time(s) in 245 post(s)
Originally Posted by: graham wood Go to Quoted Post
Richard, I find it hard from all that DC has affirmed again and again, that you really believe the closing para of your piece! As for his "personal aspiration" - where do you find any evidnce for this?.




His "personal aspiration" is to forge a "new relationship" with the EU.

Over a million google results on that ...
ELF
#18 Posted : 26 November 2012 15:50:18(UTC)
ELF

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 18/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 232
United Kingdom

Thanks: 17 times
Was thanked: 13 time(s) in 11 post(s)
Originally Posted by: IanReid Go to Quoted Post
Can someone tell me out of the EU 27, and soon to be 28 with Serbia, how many of these countries are currently in the Eurozone,

how many other countries will be in the same boat as the UK i.e. in the EU, but not been sucked into the vortex of the Eurozone.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurozone

Quote:
Ten countries (Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Sweden, and the United Kingdom) are EU members but do not use the euro.


Brian
#19 Posted : 26 November 2012 15:58:28(UTC)
Brian

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 20/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 115
United Kingdom
Location: Coventry

Thanks: 12 times
Was thanked: 7 time(s) in 6 post(s)
Originally Posted by: ELF Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: IanReid Go to Quoted Post
Can someone tell me out of the EU 27, and soon to be 28 with Serbia, how many of these countries are currently in the Eurozone,

how many other countries will be in the same boat as the UK i.e. in the EU, but not been sucked into the vortex of the Eurozone.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eurozone

Quote:
Ten countries (Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Sweden, and the United Kingdom) are EU members but do not use the euro.




Actually, every country except Denmark and the UK is bound to join the eurozone eventually

http://ec.europa.eu/econ...o_can_join/index_en.htm
Nothing is impossible so long as everybody does exactly what I tell them.
graham wood
#20 Posted : 26 November 2012 16:00:37(UTC)
graham wood

Rank: Advanced Member

Groups: Registered
Joined: 17/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 83
United Kingdom
Location: york

Thanks: 1 times
Was thanked: 15 time(s) in 14 post(s)
Originally Posted by: graham wood Go to Quoted Post
Richard, I find it hard from all that DC has affirmed again and again, that you really believe the closing para of your piece! As for his "personal aspiration" - where do you find any evidnce for this?.



Richard wrote
Quote:
His "personal aspiration" is to forge a "new relationship" with the EU.


But to put it on a more serious note, nobody can take such nonsense as a credible policy, given the state of his party, and ongoing discussion about 'renegotiations' and a referendum cam they?
As Comet rightly infers this is just another piece of procrastinating flannel. Does anybody believe this will ever come about? I'm sure you dont!
Users browsing this topic
Guest
2 Pages12>
Forum Jump  
You cannot post new topics in this forum.
You cannot reply to topics in this forum.
You cannot delete your posts in this forum.
You cannot edit your posts in this forum.
You cannot create polls in this forum.
You cannot vote in polls in this forum.

Powered by YAF 1.9.6.1 | YAF © 2003-2013, Yet Another Forum.NET
This page was generated in 0.357 seconds.