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richard
#1 Posted : 25 November 2012 13:42:57(UTC)
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Andrew Grice in the europhiliac Independent is waking up to the threat posed to his darling EU, noting that, although none of the three main party leaders wants it, Britain could already be on a slippery slope leading out of the EU.

Then confronting the near-certainty of a referendum – although not just yet – he warns that, unless the pro-EU brigade is mobilised soon, its referendum campaign could be lost before it begins.

Cue the Observer seemingly responding to Grice's call, bearing a "passionate plea" from Tony Blair, who tells us that we must stay at heart of EU – or face disaster. Any disengagement from the European Union's "top table", he says, would be a disaster for the UK's economy and its power on the world stage.

View full article here
Roger Welsh
#2 Posted : 25 November 2012 14:10:16(UTC)
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Dr North.
I am wary of your statement "an orderly exit". I cannot conceive this happening without 100% agreement of the political incumbents.
Lovely in principle, but this is a "War" against a cancer that at can be defeated. It will be the insistent natives that achieve it against the desperation of those of the "I am alright Jack" brigade.
Dave Evans
#3 Posted : 25 November 2012 14:50:08(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Roger Welsh Go to Quoted Post
Dr North.
I am wary of your statement "an orderly exit". I cannot conceive this happening without 100% agreement of the political incumbents.
Lovely in principle, but this is a "War" against a cancer that at can be defeated. It will be the insistent natives that achieve it against the desperation of those of the "I am alright Jack" brigade.


You can't have any other kind of exit either without the bolded condition.
Flashman
#4 Posted : 25 November 2012 15:25:31(UTC)
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I can see it now.

Dave Cameron resigns in 2016 after guiding the Tories to a very unexpected victory ( LOL )

Crack team of British negotiators assembled. A cross party team of Michael Portillo, Peter Mandelsohn and err Nick Clegg is assembled. These are the 'Three Musketeers', as the Daily Mail labels them, who will 'battle for Britain' against the jolly foreigners. Hurrah!

Edited by user 25 November 2012 15:27:11(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

 1 user thanked Flashman for this useful post.
euSSR Go Home on 25/11/2012(UTC)
In2minds
#5 Posted : 25 November 2012 15:30:47(UTC)
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What does Blair know about 'disaster'?
john in cheshire
#6 Posted : 25 November 2012 17:44:48(UTC)
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Richard, forgive my ignorance but I have three questions :
1. When have we ever been at the heart of Europe? The rest of the EU takes our money but I don't see any evidence that they modify anything they do because of what we say or ask.
2. Why would we want to become a member of the EEA; doesn't the EFTA still exist and if so, why wouldn't we just become a member of that organisation?
3. Failing that, why wouldn't we negotiate our exist via article 50 as you advise, and then restore our trade relations with our Commonwealth partners; assuming they aren't totally disillusioned with us because of how we have treated them in the past 50 or so years? I suppose I'm asking why would we initiate trade talks with the EU, they need us more than we need them so let them do the courting - call the bluff of the marxists.

Edited by user 25 November 2012 17:48:42(UTC)  | Reason: I can't count

richard
#7 Posted : 25 November 2012 17:53:07(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: john in cheshire Go to Quoted Post
Richard, forgive my ignorance but I have two questions :
1. When have we ever been at the heart of Europe? The rest of the EU takes our money but I don't see any evidence that they modify anything they do because of what we say or ask.
2. Why would we want to become a member of the EEA; doesn't the EFTA still exist and if so, why wouldn't we just become a member of that organisation?
3. Failing that, why wouldn't we negotiate our exist via article 50 as you advise, and then restore our trade relations with our Commonwealth partners; assuming they aren't totally disillusioned with us because of how we have treated them in the past 50 or so years? I suppose I'm asking why would we initiate trade talks with the EU, they need us more than we need them so let them do the courting - call the bluff of the marxists.




1. I think the "heart of Europe" is one of those vacuous slogans that politicians use ... it is now and always has been meaningless.

2. Excluding Switzerland, EFTA and the EEA are interchangeable. But membership of EFTA doesn't get you membership of the Single Market. EEA does.

3. The Commonwealth has moved on ... New Zealand and Australia, for instance, have developed Asian markets. We can't just pick up where we left off. We might be better trying for a relationship with the Cairns Group.


As to initiating trade talks with the EU, we do so because Art 50 gives us the initiative. The trade imbalance gives us a certain amount of leverage, but we should not overplay it.

Edited by user 25 November 2012 17:55:36(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

jaguar driver
#8 Posted : 25 November 2012 18:30:29(UTC)
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John in Cheshire said:-
Quote:
3. Failing that, why wouldn't we negotiate our exist via article 50 as you advise, and then restore our trade relations with our Commonwealth partners; assuming they aren't totally disillusioned with us because of how we have treated them in the past 50 or so years?


RAENorth said:-
Quote:
3. The Commonwealth has moved on ... New Zealand and Australia, for instance, have developed Asian markets. We can't just pick up where we left off. We might be better trying for a relationship with the Cairns Group.


Not sure things are that bleak. British supermarkets are high with NZ butter and meat, apparently the UK is New Zealand’s fifth-largest trading partner.
As for Australia, apart from luxury motors and technology that we sell to them, I suppose we still trade in wine, wheat and metal mining products. Australia is pretty full of resources and has a lot of agricultural land. These resources are mainly mined by Anglo-Australian multinationals, companies with their roots mainly in the UK but with most of their operations in Australia where the resources are - BHP Billington, Rio Tinto and etc.
As for India, with so much of UK companies becoming owned by TATA and suchlike, one could say we are an open market for India. I do understand that TATA is starting to source more automotive items from India for UK motor production. TATA has opened a massive market in China for Jaguars and Land Rovers, so much so that they are considering setting up production of said motors in China. I am not sure if that is quite the right idea. Will a gleaming Jaguar stamped 'made in China' still have the same cachet as 'Made in Coventry'. (just so long as they don't import them into UK..Cursing )

As for Britain going alone in a lonely world, bring it on I say. We have some outstanding companies and businesses that are world class and world beating.
We also have practice at being alone in a lonely world.
No one is going to say, "Oh look, Britain has left the EU, best we keep away from there."

After a few years of sifting through and chopping the red tape and regulations we will be smokin'... Cool

All we have to be afraid of is fear itself.
richard
#9 Posted : 25 November 2012 18:39:25(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: jaguar driver Go to Quoted Post


All we have to be afraid of is fear itself.




Yes ... and the europhiles are playing on that. We have to take the fear out of the equation.

stuart
#10 Posted : 25 November 2012 18:49:59(UTC)
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Farage always liked the "amicable divorce" idea. Well, it can only be amicable when both parties are taken care of, and that will not be the case with the big bang scenario. I am sure there are many areas such as the aviation authority where we no longer have the institution to run our skys. Are we going to re-implement one again in a day?
richard
#11 Posted : 25 November 2012 19:35:09(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: stuart Go to Quoted Post
Farage always liked the "amicable divorce" idea. Well, it can only be amicable when both parties are taken care of, and that will not be the case with the big bang scenario. I am sure there are many areas such as the aviation authority where we no longer have the institution to run our skys. Are we going to re-implement one again in a day?



Look at Booker's column comments and you see the highest scoring comments (albeit low numbers) are those which advocate immediate withdrawal. Farage has been drinking at that well for years, following a narrow band of public opinion, without attempting to shape it. This means, when the chips are down, we have a large group of unreconstructed "straight-outers", who will do more harm to the cause than good. That, in my view, is the Farage legacy, and a measure of why he is so dangerous.

I am accused of having personal issues with Farage, as indeed I do, but the disagreements over strategy came first. Farage's response to those disagreements was to fire me, making it personal. Thus, even if the personal issues could be resolved - which is not really possible - there remain the underlying issues which brought it to that point in the first place. Those are even more difficult to resolve, leaving UKIP in an unsustainable position, part of the problem rather than the solution.

jaguar driver
#12 Posted : 25 November 2012 19:41:01(UTC)
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Stuart said:-
Quote:
I am sure there are many areas such as the aviation authority where we no longer have the institution to run our skys. Are we going to re-implement one again in a day?


Well, we do have the massive Air Traffic Control Centre at Hamble. We ought to be able to handle our own airspace regardless of EU A.T.C. regulations, whether we will be allowed to is another matter.
euSSR Go Home
#13 Posted : 25 November 2012 19:53:32(UTC)
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Oh, Dr. N!! Two days in a row you give us pictures of the vile players who used the set to "Give Britain Away." They had no right to do it, of course.
As part of the act, they let the freebooters in to pillage everything that was here as well. We probably should take inventory of what resources and skills we might use to optimise our ultimate restoration.

Must say I appreciate Flashman's addendum:

Originally Posted by: Flashman Go to Quoted Post
I can see it now.

Dave Cameron resigns in 2016 after guiding the Tories to a very unexpected victory ( LOL )

Crack team of British negotiators assembled. A cross party team of Michael Portillo, Peter Mandelsohn and err Nick Clegg is assembled. These are the 'Three Musketeers', as the Daily Mail labels them, who will 'battle for Britain' against the jolly foreigners. Hurrah!


Of course, they're not British at heart, are they? Must say I wonder what to make of their various attachments to things hispanic.
richard
#14 Posted : 25 November 2012 19:58:19(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: euSSR Go Home Go to Quoted Post
Oh, Dr. N!! Two days in a row you give us pictures of the vile players who used the set to "Give Britain Away."




Cool Well, I have to suffer, and I do believe in sharing.

Flashman
#15 Posted : 25 November 2012 20:33:36(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: euSSR Go Home Go to Quoted Post
Oh, Dr. N!! Two days in a row you give us pictures of the vile players who used the set to "Give Britain Away." They had no right to do it, of course.
As part of the act, they let the freebooters in to pillage everything that was here as well. We probably should take inventory of what resources and skills we might use to optimise our ultimate restoration.

Must say I appreciate Flashman's addendum:

Originally Posted by: Flashman Go to Quoted Post
I can see it now.

Dave Cameron resigns in 2016 after guiding the Tories to a very unexpected victory ( LOL )

Crack team of British negotiators assembled. A cross party team of Michael Portillo, Peter Mandelsohn and err Nick Clegg is assembled. These are the 'Three Musketeers', as the Daily Mail labels them, who will 'battle for Britain' against the jolly foreigners. Hurrah!


Of course, they're not British at heart, are they? Must say I wonder what to make of their various attachments to things hispanic.


heh didnt think of that but it is quite a coincidence.

I see Boris Johnson has now come into line. Mad

http://www.telegraph.co....eferendum-on-Europe.html
richard
#16 Posted : 25 November 2012 21:21:35(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Flashman Go to Quoted Post
I see Boris Johnson has now come into line. Mad

http://www.telegraph.co....eferendum-on-Europe.html



Why am I not surprised?

gareth
#17 Posted : 25 November 2012 21:46:38(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: stuart Go to Quoted Post
Farage always liked the "amicable divorce" idea. Well, it can only be amicable when both parties are taken care of, and that will not be the case with the big bang scenario. I am sure there are many areas such as the aviation authority where we no longer have the institution to run our skys. Are we going to re-implement one again in a day?
You could pinch the amicable divorce idea and push it a little further to divorce with offspring - the single market. Article 50 could ensure access to the single market without the constant earache of being married to it's mother.(Or are we the mother?)
richard
#18 Posted : 25 November 2012 22:20:12(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: gareth Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: stuart Go to Quoted Post
Farage always liked the "amicable divorce" idea. Well, it can only be amicable when both parties are taken care of, and that will not be the case with the big bang scenario. I am sure there are many areas such as the aviation authority where we no longer have the institution to run our skys. Are we going to re-implement one again in a day?
You could pinch the amicable divorce idea and push it a little further to divorce with offspring - the single market. Article 50 could ensure access to the single market without the constant earache of being married to it's mother.(Or are we the mother?)



Perhaps "daddy" ... the "colleagues" are always talking of "Mother Europe". But you are right - the "divorce with kids" meme could be quite fruitful. We need to arrange visitation rights.

Steve Brown
#19 Posted : 25 November 2012 22:47:12(UTC)
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Tony Blair, the 'Defender of Catholicism', is this the same man? http://www.tnr.com/artic...nd-the-world-tony-blair# and http://www.dailymail.co....million-job-adviser.html
And Blair retains the temerity to lecture ME on ethics and morality and how MY country should be run?
The least offensive remark I can make is "You're 'avin' a larf!"
richard
#20 Posted : 25 November 2012 22:59:32(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Steve Brown Go to Quoted Post
Tony Blair, the 'Defender of Catholicism', is this the same man? http://www.tnr.com/artic...nd-the-world-tony-blair# and http://www.dailymail.co....million-job-adviser.html
And Blair retains the temerity to lecture ME on ethics and morality and how MY country should be run?
The least offensive remark I can make is "You're 'avin' a larf!"




There is no end to this. I am supposed not to say this, but the words "rise up and shoot them" somehow keep bubbling to the surface. I cannot imagine why, or what their relevance to the current situation might be. I suspect, though, that with a little effort, I might see a link.

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