28/03/2015
The
Spectator blog is publishing a list of a dozen predictions on the outcome of the general election. And, as one might expect, they are all over the place, proving that, whether experts or not, guesses are still guesses.
One interesting thing though is that the current average prediction for Ukip seats stands at 3.3, down from 6.6 in the Political Studies Association's survey
last February.
That downwards trend is endorsed by
YouGov, which would also have us believe the voters think that Ukip is the sleaziest party. But then, as
Autonomous Mind recently noted, comedian Russell Brand has been voted the worldâs fourth most important thinker by readers of the "intellectual" magazine
Prospect.
AM thus suggests that the team at
Prospect deserve to be feeling rather deflated about the calibre of their readership and, in like manner,
YouGov might want to feel the same about their polling panel.
When it comes to the
New Statesman though, it would be hard to tell the difference between readers and writers, but then the same might be said of
this piece in the
Spectator. Basically, when it comes to intelligent political commentary, the legacy media have lost the plot, just as they have with so many issues.
If you want sense, these days, you have to go elsewhere, such as
here and
here.