EU Referendum


Energy: winter outlook


09/07/2013



I'm not doing a long piece, in order to leave the STOR post visible. However, this might be interesting – National Grid's winter outlook. Regarding electricity, it sees peak normal demand this winter at 55.1GW, while available generation capacity at the start of winter is seen at 77.1GW, two GW less than last winter.

For serious students of the energy scene, there is the full report. It puts the contracted winter period STOR at 3.5GW, plus the system frequency response will be brought up to 1.9 GW.

Add to that, Maximum Generation contracts in place for Winter 2013/14, which provides potential access to up to 1GW of extra generation in emergency situations – which is not recorded on the declared reserve – and we have a "hidden reserve" of over 6GW, on top of the 22GW capacity margin.

That doesn't mean that things can't go wrong, but you have to have 28GW-worth of "wrong" before the lights start to go out this winter. Bank-balances self-destructing is a much more likely scenario.

COMMENT: "STOR" THREAD